Latest ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF places Paris overnight lows for June 16 primarily between 18–20 °C, driven by building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light boundary-layer winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. This produces a tight but still uncertain distribution around the market’s leading 19 °C and 20 °C buckets. Key differentiating factors include small variations in forecast cloud cover that could reduce nocturnal heat loss, subtle shifts in wind direction affecting advection, and the urban heat-island bias at official Paris stations, which historically adds 1–2 °C relative to rural climatology. Historical June minima average near 13–14 °C, but current warm advection keeps values elevated; the next model cycles and any late adjustments to boundary-layer stability remain the primary near-term catalysts for repricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 16 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 16 giugno?
19°C 29%
20°C 20%
18°C 11%
17°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 giu 2026
16°C o inferiore
4%
17°C
10%
18°C
11%
19°C
29%
20°C
24%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o superiore
<1%
19°C 29%
20°C 20%
18°C 11%
17°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 giu 2026
16°C o inferiore
$76 Vol.
4%
17°C
$33 Vol.
10%
18°C
$104 Vol.
11%
19°C
$20 Vol.
29%
20°C
$25 Vol.
24%
21°C
$54 Vol.
3%
22°C
$51 Vol.
1%
23°C
$85 Vol.
1%
24°C
$174 Vol.
1%
25°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
26°C o superiore
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF places Paris overnight lows for June 16 primarily between 18–20 °C, driven by building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light boundary-layer winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. This produces a tight but still uncertain distribution around the market’s leading 19 °C and 20 °C buckets. Key differentiating factors include small variations in forecast cloud cover that could reduce nocturnal heat loss, subtle shifts in wind direction affecting advection, and the urban heat-island bias at official Paris stations, which historically adds 1–2 °C relative to rural climatology. Historical June minima average near 13–14 °C, but current warm advection keeps values elevated; the next model cycles and any late adjustments to boundary-layer stability remain the primary near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$740Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF places Paris overnight lows for June 16 primarily between 18–20 °C, driven by building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light boundary-layer winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. This produces a tight but still uncertain distribution around the market’s leading 19 °C and 20 °C buckets. Key differentiating factors include small variations in forecast cloud cover that could reduce nocturnal heat loss, subtle shifts in wind direction affecting advection, and the urban heat-island bias at official Paris stations, which historically adds 1–2 °C relative to rural climatology. Historical June minima average near 13–14 °C, but current warm advection keeps values elevated; the next model cycles and any late adjustments to boundary-layer stability remain the primary near-term catalysts for repricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$740Data di fine
16 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble guidance from Météo-France and ECMWF places Paris overnight lows for June 16 primarily between 18–20 °C, driven by building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light boundary-layer winds that limit radiative cooling overnight. This produces a tight but still uncertain distribution around the market’s leading 19 °C and 20 °C buckets. Key differentiating factors include small variations in forecast cloud cover that could reduce nocturnal heat loss, subtle shifts in wind direction affecting advection, and the urban heat-island bias at official Paris stations, which historically adds 1–2 °C relative to rural climatology. Historical June minima average near 13–14 °C, but current warm advection keeps values elevated; the next model cycles and any late adjustments to boundary-layer stability remain the primary near-term catalysts for repricing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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