Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin favoring a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu on June 14, driven by moderate southerly flow, high humidity, and limited daytime solar heating under partial cloud cover. Historical June baselines for the region average highs near 29–31°C, with this day's implied probability reflecting stable model consensus and minimal deviation in recent runs. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include rapid afternoon clearing enhancing insolation or an unforecasted warm advection spike, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding 34°C thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 14?
33°C 95.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$51,108 Vol.
$51,108 Vol.
14 giu 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
95%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
33°C 95.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$51,108 Vol.
$51,108 Vol.
14 giu 2026
31°C or below
$11,189 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10,821 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$10,585 Vol.
95%
34°C
$4,607 Vol.
1%
35°C
$3,676 Vol.
1%
36°C
$4,009 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,077 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$2,711 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$652 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$713 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$611 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin favoring a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu on June 14, driven by moderate southerly flow, high humidity, and limited daytime solar heating under partial cloud cover. Historical June baselines for the region average highs near 29–31°C, with this day's implied probability reflecting stable model consensus and minimal deviation in recent runs. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include rapid afternoon clearing enhancing insolation or an unforecasted warm advection spike, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding 34°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$51,108Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin favoring a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu on June 14, driven by moderate southerly flow, high humidity, and limited daytime solar heating under partial cloud cover. Historical June baselines for the region average highs near 29–31°C, with this day's implied probability reflecting stable model consensus and minimal deviation in recent runs. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include rapid afternoon clearing enhancing insolation or an unforecasted warm advection spike, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding 34°C thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,108Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate atmospheric conditions over the Sichuan Basin favoring a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu on June 14, driven by moderate southerly flow, high humidity, and limited daytime solar heating under partial cloud cover. Historical June baselines for the region average highs near 29–31°C, with this day's implied probability reflecting stable model consensus and minimal deviation in recent runs. Scenarios that could realistically shift outcomes include rapid afternoon clearing enhancing insolation or an unforecasted warm advection spike, though current data show low likelihood of exceeding 34°C thresholds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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