Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model consensus have converged on a daily maximum of 26°C for Seoul on June 14, underpinned by moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and dew points supporting efficient mixing without strong surface heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when typical highs range 24–28°C before the full onset of the East Asian monsoon. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability on the 26°C bin reflects high confidence in these verified observations and short-range guidance, with minimal spread across runs. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-day clearing trend or localized downslope warming that pushes readings above the bin threshold before the official daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul il 14 giugno?
26°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$201,069 Vol.
$201,069 Vol.
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$201,069 Vol.
$201,069 Vol.
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model consensus have converged on a daily maximum of 26°C for Seoul on June 14, underpinned by moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and dew points supporting efficient mixing without strong surface heating. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when typical highs range 24–28°C before the full onset of the East Asian monsoon. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability on the 26°C bin reflects high confidence in these verified observations and short-range guidance, with minimal spread across runs. A realistic challenge would require an unanticipated late-day clearing trend or localized downslope warming that pushes readings above the bin threshold before the official daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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