Recent short-range forecasts from models and agencies point to a moderate high near 23°C in coastal Qingdao on June 16, shaped by persistent onshore flow and marine layer moderation that typically caps summer temperatures below inland averages. This baseline, aligned with June climatology of 24°C highs and limited recent warming signals, keeps 27°C and 28°C as the closest outcomes because traders weigh small uncertainties in sea-breeze timing, cloud cover, or model spread that could add 2–4°C. Official guidance shows no heat-wave setup or anomalous ridge, so probabilities cluster around these values while cooler or much warmer bins remain low due to historical rarity and stable synoptic patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
28°C 37%
27°C 28%
29°C 15%
26°C 8%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
28%
28°C
30%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
7%
28°C 37%
27°C 28%
29°C 15%
26°C 8%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
28%
28°C
30%
29°C
15%
30°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models and agencies point to a moderate high near 23°C in coastal Qingdao on June 16, shaped by persistent onshore flow and marine layer moderation that typically caps summer temperatures below inland averages. This baseline, aligned with June climatology of 24°C highs and limited recent warming signals, keeps 27°C and 28°C as the closest outcomes because traders weigh small uncertainties in sea-breeze timing, cloud cover, or model spread that could add 2–4°C. Official guidance shows no heat-wave setup or anomalous ridge, so probabilities cluster around these values while cooler or much warmer bins remain low due to historical rarity and stable synoptic patterns.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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