**Recent model consensus and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration support a daily maximum of 25°C in Qingdao on June 14, 2026.** Updated ECMWF and regional runs indicate 850 hPa temperatures near 15–16°C combined with moderate southeast flow and limited insolation under partly cloudy skies, keeping the peak at this level rather than allowing stronger warming. Historical June averages near 24°C provide context, but today’s specific steering pattern and sea-breeze moderation align tightly with the 25°C threshold. Trader positioning reflects this convergence of official guidance, with real-capital stakes reinforcing the implied probability near 100%. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or weakening onshore winds could still permit a brief excursion above 25°C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 14?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$33,794 Vol.
$33,794 Vol.
14 giu 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$33,794 Vol.
$33,794 Vol.
14 giu 2026
20°C or below
$553 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$399 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$833 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,637 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,017 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$11,072 Vol.
100%
26°C
$4,813 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,357 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,011 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,428 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$2,674 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration support a daily maximum of 25°C in Qingdao on June 14, 2026.** Updated ECMWF and regional runs indicate 850 hPa temperatures near 15–16°C combined with moderate southeast flow and limited insolation under partly cloudy skies, keeping the peak at this level rather than allowing stronger warming. Historical June averages near 24°C provide context, but today’s specific steering pattern and sea-breeze moderation align tightly with the 25°C threshold. Trader positioning reflects this convergence of official guidance, with real-capital stakes reinforcing the implied probability near 100%. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or weakening onshore winds could still permit a brief excursion above 25°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$33,794Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration support a daily maximum of 25°C in Qingdao on June 14, 2026.** Updated ECMWF and regional runs indicate 850 hPa temperatures near 15–16°C combined with moderate southeast flow and limited insolation under partly cloudy skies, keeping the peak at this level rather than allowing stronger warming. Historical June averages near 24°C provide context, but today’s specific steering pattern and sea-breeze moderation align tightly with the 25°C threshold. Trader positioning reflects this convergence of official guidance, with real-capital stakes reinforcing the implied probability near 100%. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or weakening onshore winds could still permit a brief excursion above 25°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,794Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration support a daily maximum of 25°C in Qingdao on June 14, 2026.** Updated ECMWF and regional runs indicate 850 hPa temperatures near 15–16°C combined with moderate southeast flow and limited insolation under partly cloudy skies, keeping the peak at this level rather than allowing stronger warming. Historical June averages near 24°C provide context, but today’s specific steering pattern and sea-breeze moderation align tightly with the 25°C threshold. Trader positioning reflects this convergence of official guidance, with real-capital stakes reinforcing the implied probability near 100%. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or weakening onshore winds could still permit a brief excursion above 25°C before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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