**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) project a daytime maximum of 26–29°C on June 14, 2026, under heavy rain, persistent cloud cover, and an active southwest monsoon with an associated low-pressure trough.** Multi-model consensus and recent HKO guidance align closely on this range, reinforced by high humidity (often above 80–90%) and showers that suppress afternoon heating relative to clearer historical June analogs near 31°C. The seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures provides a baseline, yet the current synoptic pattern—marked by unsettled conditions and moisture—strongly favors the lower end of typical summer values. Trader consensus at 99.8% for 29°C reflects this convergence of verified observational guidance and limited upside risk. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing of cloud cover or a sharp model revision allowing greater insolation, though updated HKO briefings and evening observations are unlikely to shift the outcome substantially given the entrenched weather regime.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 14 giugno?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 14 giugno?
29°C 99.6%
30°C 1.6%
27°C <1%
23°C o inferiore <1%
$187,439 Vol.
$187,439 Vol.
14 giu 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 99.6%
30°C 1.6%
27°C <1%
23°C o inferiore <1%
$187,439 Vol.
$187,439 Vol.
14 giu 2026
23°C o inferiore
$618 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$603 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,398 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$8,756 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$37,225 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$31,184 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$52,349 Vol.
100%
30°C
$26,878 Vol.
2%
31°C
$23,847 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$12,830 Vol.
<1%
33°C o superiore
$9,373 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) project a daytime maximum of 26–29°C on June 14, 2026, under heavy rain, persistent cloud cover, and an active southwest monsoon with an associated low-pressure trough.** Multi-model consensus and recent HKO guidance align closely on this range, reinforced by high humidity (often above 80–90%) and showers that suppress afternoon heating relative to clearer historical June analogs near 31°C. The seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures provides a baseline, yet the current synoptic pattern—marked by unsettled conditions and moisture—strongly favors the lower end of typical summer values.
Trader consensus at 99.8% for 29°C reflects this convergence of verified observational guidance and limited upside risk. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing of cloud cover or a sharp model revision allowing greater insolation, though updated HKO briefings and evening observations are unlikely to shift the outcome substantially given the entrenched weather regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$187,439Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) project a daytime maximum of 26–29°C on June 14, 2026, under heavy rain, persistent cloud cover, and an active southwest monsoon with an associated low-pressure trough.** Multi-model consensus and recent HKO guidance align closely on this range, reinforced by high humidity (often above 80–90%) and showers that suppress afternoon heating relative to clearer historical June analogs near 31°C. The seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures provides a baseline, yet the current synoptic pattern—marked by unsettled conditions and moisture—strongly favors the lower end of typical summer values.
Trader consensus at 99.8% for 29°C reflects this convergence of verified observational guidance and limited upside risk. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing of cloud cover or a sharp model revision allowing greater insolation, though updated HKO briefings and evening observations are unlikely to shift the outcome substantially given the entrenched weather regime.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$187,439Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) project a daytime maximum of 26–29°C on June 14, 2026, under heavy rain, persistent cloud cover, and an active southwest monsoon with an associated low-pressure trough.** Multi-model consensus and recent HKO guidance align closely on this range, reinforced by high humidity (often above 80–90%) and showers that suppress afternoon heating relative to clearer historical June analogs near 31°C. The seasonal outlook for above-normal temperatures provides a baseline, yet the current synoptic pattern—marked by unsettled conditions and moisture—strongly favors the lower end of typical summer values. Trader consensus at 99.8% for 29°C reflects this convergence of verified observational guidance and limited upside risk. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing of cloud cover or a sharp model revision allowing greater insolation, though updated HKO briefings and evening observations are unlikely to shift the outcome substantially given the entrenched weather regime.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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