**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 14 minimum temperature centers on persistent southwest monsoon flow and an active low-pressure trough, which are sustaining cloudy skies, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers across the territory.** These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, elevating the minimum above typical early-June baselines near 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance lists a 26–30°C range for the day, while model consensus and climatology place the overnight low most likely at 27–28°C under moderate southwesterly winds and extensive cloud cover. The near-even split between the 28°C (42.3%) and 27°C (41.0%) outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and localized cooling pockets, with only low probability assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a marine-layer surge. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers for any final shift in market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 14 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 14 giugno?
28°C 76.9%
27°C 41%
26°C 7.8%
25°C 2.7%
$28,539 Vol.
$28,539 Vol.
14 giu 2026
22°C o inferiore
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
12%
27°C
32%
28°C
57%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 76.9%
27°C 41%
26°C 7.8%
25°C 2.7%
$28,539 Vol.
$28,539 Vol.
14 giu 2026
22°C o inferiore
$1,291 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,751 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,799 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,610 Vol.
3%
26°C
$3,420 Vol.
12%
27°C
$1,476 Vol.
32%
28°C
$5,933 Vol.
57%
29°C
$6,708 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$505 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$462 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$1,755 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 14 minimum temperature centers on persistent southwest monsoon flow and an active low-pressure trough, which are sustaining cloudy skies, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers across the territory.** These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, elevating the minimum above typical early-June baselines near 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance lists a 26–30°C range for the day, while model consensus and climatology place the overnight low most likely at 27–28°C under moderate southwesterly winds and extensive cloud cover. The near-even split between the 28°C (42.3%) and 27°C (41.0%) outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and localized cooling pockets, with only low probability assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a marine-layer surge. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers for any final shift in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$28,539Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 14 minimum temperature centers on persistent southwest monsoon flow and an active low-pressure trough, which are sustaining cloudy skies, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers across the territory.** These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, elevating the minimum above typical early-June baselines near 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance lists a 26–30°C range for the day, while model consensus and climatology place the overnight low most likely at 27–28°C under moderate southwesterly winds and extensive cloud cover. The near-even split between the 28°C (42.3%) and 27°C (41.0%) outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and localized cooling pockets, with only low probability assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a marine-layer surge. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers for any final shift in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,539Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Hong Kong’s June 14 minimum temperature centers on persistent southwest monsoon flow and an active low-pressure trough, which are sustaining cloudy skies, high humidity (80–95%), and scattered heavy showers across the territory.** These conditions suppress radiative cooling overnight, elevating the minimum above typical early-June baselines near 26°C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance lists a 26–30°C range for the day, while model consensus and climatology place the overnight low most likely at 27–28°C under moderate southwesterly winds and extensive cloud cover. The near-even split between the 28°C (42.3%) and 27°C (41.0%) outcomes reflects residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and localized cooling pockets, with only low probability assigned to cooler readings that would require clearer skies or a marine-layer surge. Updated HKO bulletins and real-time observations through the evening will be the key near-term drivers for any final shift in market-implied odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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