**Strong model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daytime high of 31°C in Chongqing on June 14, 2026, under stable subtropical high-pressure influence with light winds and limited afternoon convection.** Mid-June climatology for the region typically features highs of 28–32°C amid rising humidity and monsoon onset; current observational data and ensemble forecasts align closely with this value, minimizing downside risk from cooler outflows or heavy rain. The market's 98.6% implied probability on 31°C reflects traders' confidence in these deterministic short-range predictions, where uncertainty ranges narrow sharply within 24 hours of verification. Only a rapid, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or localized thunderstorm development—scenarios assigned low probability by latest runs—could realistically shift the observed maximum into the low 30s or below.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 14 giugno?
La temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 14 giugno?
31°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
26°C o inferiore <1%
$39,835 Vol.
$39,835 Vol.
14 giu 2026
26°C o inferiore
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
88%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C o superiore
<1%
31°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
26°C o inferiore <1%
$39,835 Vol.
$39,835 Vol.
14 giu 2026
26°C o inferiore
$593 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,056 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,022 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,908 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,583 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,683 Vol.
88%
32°C
$6,066 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,608 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,965 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$597 Vol.
<1%
36°C o superiore
$1,392 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daytime high of 31°C in Chongqing on June 14, 2026, under stable subtropical high-pressure influence with light winds and limited afternoon convection.** Mid-June climatology for the region typically features highs of 28–32°C amid rising humidity and monsoon onset; current observational data and ensemble forecasts align closely with this value, minimizing downside risk from cooler outflows or heavy rain. The market's 98.6% implied probability on 31°C reflects traders' confidence in these deterministic short-range predictions, where uncertainty ranges narrow sharply within 24 hours of verification. Only a rapid, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or localized thunderstorm development—scenarios assigned low probability by latest runs—could realistically shift the observed maximum into the low 30s or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$39,835Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daytime high of 31°C in Chongqing on June 14, 2026, under stable subtropical high-pressure influence with light winds and limited afternoon convection.** Mid-June climatology for the region typically features highs of 28–32°C amid rising humidity and monsoon onset; current observational data and ensemble forecasts align closely with this value, minimizing downside risk from cooler outflows or heavy rain. The market's 98.6% implied probability on 31°C reflects traders' confidence in these deterministic short-range predictions, where uncertainty ranges narrow sharply within 24 hours of verification. Only a rapid, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or localized thunderstorm development—scenarios assigned low probability by latest runs—could realistically shift the observed maximum into the low 30s or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$39,835Data di fine
14 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration supports a daytime high of 31°C in Chongqing on June 14, 2026, under stable subtropical high-pressure influence with light winds and limited afternoon convection.** Mid-June climatology for the region typically features highs of 28–32°C amid rising humidity and monsoon onset; current observational data and ensemble forecasts align closely with this value, minimizing downside risk from cooler outflows or heavy rain. The market's 98.6% implied probability on 31°C reflects traders' confidence in these deterministic short-range predictions, where uncertainty ranges narrow sharply within 24 hours of verification. Only a rapid, unforecasted increase in cloud cover or localized thunderstorm development—scenarios assigned low probability by latest runs—could realistically shift the observed maximum into the low 30s or below.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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