**Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 29–31°C for Chongqing on June 16, 2026, under typical early-summer subtropical conditions.** This narrow range explains the tightly clustered market probabilities around those outcomes. Seasonal insolation and high atmospheric moisture content promote afternoon convective clouds or scattered showers that cap radiative heating, while light winds and urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley support modest warming. Historical June climatology shows mean highs of 28–30°C with frequent 2–4°C day-to-day variability from transient frontal passages or monsoon moisture surges. Short-range guidance shows limited model spread on timing of any clearing versus cloud build-up, keeping upside risk for 32°C+ or downside below 28°C modest and sustaining the balanced trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chongqing il 16 giugno?
30°C 26%
29°C 24%
31°C 22%
32°C 11%
27°C o inferiore
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
24%
30°C
26%
31°C
22%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 26%
29°C 24%
31°C 22%
32°C 11%
27°C o inferiore
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
24%
30°C
26%
31°C
22%
32°C
11%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 29–31°C for Chongqing on June 16, 2026, under typical early-summer subtropical conditions.** This narrow range explains the tightly clustered market probabilities around those outcomes. Seasonal insolation and high atmospheric moisture content promote afternoon convective clouds or scattered showers that cap radiative heating, while light winds and urban heat-island effects in the Yangtze River valley support modest warming. Historical June climatology shows mean highs of 28–30°C with frequent 2–4°C day-to-day variability from transient frontal passages or monsoon moisture surges. Short-range guidance shows limited model spread on timing of any clearing versus cloud build-up, keeping upside risk for 32°C+ or downside below 28°C modest and sustaining the balanced trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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