High pressure building over western Europe is driving subsidence warming and clear skies, pushing Paris maximum temperatures for June 16 above seasonal normals near 24 °C and concentrating trader bets on 29–31 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, with small differences in daytime cloud cover or southerly flow determining whether peak readings reach 30 °C or stall at 29 °C. Official Météo-France and ECMWF runs through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution, while historical June maxima rarely exceed 32 °C under similar synoptic setups.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
30°C 36%
29°C 32%
31°C 19%
28°C 9%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
32%
30°C
36%
31°C
19%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 36%
29°C 32%
31°C 19%
28°C 9%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
32%
30°C
36%
31°C
19%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure building over western Europe is driving subsidence warming and clear skies, pushing Paris maximum temperatures for June 16 above seasonal normals near 24 °C and concentrating trader bets on 29–31 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in 850 hPa temperatures and boundary-layer moisture, with small differences in daytime cloud cover or southerly flow determining whether peak readings reach 30 °C or stall at 29 °C. Official Météo-France and ECMWF runs through the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution, while historical June maxima rarely exceed 32 °C under similar synoptic setups.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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