Recent high-pressure dominance and clear skies have driven Paris temperatures sharply higher, with June 14 peaking near 30 °C and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–28 °C for the 15th. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show modest day-to-day cooling under continued subsidence and light northerly flow, yet small differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual cloud produce the near-even split between those two bins. Historical mid-June maxima average 22–23 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly whose precise peak remains sensitive to the next model cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 15?
28°C 37%
27°C 36%
29°C 16%
26°C 9%
NUOVO
$13,367 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,367 Vol.
15 giu 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
36%
28°C
37%
29°C
16%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
27°C 36%
29°C 16%
26°C 9%
NUOVO
$13,367 Vol.
NUOVO
$13,367 Vol.
15 giu 2026
22°C or below
$237 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,372 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,968 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,830 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,424 Vol.
9%
27°C
$1,149 Vol.
36%
28°C
$890 Vol.
37%
29°C
$684 Vol.
16%
30°C
$946 Vol.
2%
31°C
$821 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$236 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance and clear skies have driven Paris temperatures sharply higher, with June 14 peaking near 30 °C and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–28 °C for the 15th. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show modest day-to-day cooling under continued subsidence and light northerly flow, yet small differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual cloud produce the near-even split between those two bins. Historical mid-June maxima average 22–23 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly whose precise peak remains sensitive to the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$13,367Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance and clear skies have driven Paris temperatures sharply higher, with June 14 peaking near 30 °C and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–28 °C for the 15th. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show modest day-to-day cooling under continued subsidence and light northerly flow, yet small differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual cloud produce the near-even split between those two bins. Historical mid-June maxima average 22–23 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly whose precise peak remains sensitive to the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,367Data di fine
15 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance and clear skies have driven Paris temperatures sharply higher, with June 14 peaking near 30 °C and supporting market-implied odds clustered around 27–28 °C for the 15th. Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF show modest day-to-day cooling under continued subsidence and light northerly flow, yet small differences in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any residual cloud produce the near-even split between those two bins. Historical mid-June maxima average 22–23 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly whose precise peak remains sensitive to the next model cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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