**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's June 14 highest temperature centers on 17°C (60% implied probability), with 16°C (24.4%) and 18°C (11%) as secondary outcomes.** Current official forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate a daytime maximum of 17°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers or scattered clouds, driven by moderate westerly winds and North Sea marine air moderating temperatures. These conditions suppress peaks below the long-term June average of ~19°C, as persistent cloud cover limits solar heating while preventing significant cooling. Recent observational data through midday on June 14 show readings holding near 16°C, consistent with model runs projecting only brief afternoon clearing that allows limited warming to 17–18°C at most. Historical analogs for early June under similar synoptic patterns reinforce this narrow range, with low odds for outliers above 19°C or below 15°C given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming warm advection. Upcoming afternoon observations and final daily reports will refine resolution, but consensus data continue to anchor the market around 17°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 14?
17°C 60%
16°C 24.4%
18°C 11%
19°C 3.5%
$25,196 Vol.
$25,196 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
24%
17°C
60%
18°C
11%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
17°C 60%
16°C 24.4%
18°C 11%
19°C 3.5%
$25,196 Vol.
$25,196 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
24%
17°C
60%
18°C
11%
19°C
4%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's June 14 highest temperature centers on 17°C (60% implied probability), with 16°C (24.4%) and 18°C (11%) as secondary outcomes.** Current official forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate a daytime maximum of 17°C under mostly cloudy skies with light showers or scattered clouds, driven by moderate westerly winds and North Sea marine air moderating temperatures. These conditions suppress peaks below the long-term June average of ~19°C, as persistent cloud cover limits solar heating while preventing significant cooling. Recent observational data through midday on June 14 show readings holding near 16°C, consistent with model runs projecting only brief afternoon clearing that allows limited warming to 17–18°C at most. Historical analogs for early June under similar synoptic patterns reinforce this narrow range, with low odds for outliers above 19°C or below 15°C given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming warm advection. Upcoming afternoon observations and final daily reports will refine resolution, but consensus data continue to anchor the market around 17°C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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