Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and regional European guidance point to a daytime maximum of 17–18 °C in Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with early-summer maritime air masses that limit diurnal warming, producing peak readings consistent with the 44.5 % market weight on 18 °C and 33.5 % on 17 °C. Historical June averages near 19 °C provide context, yet the absence of southerly advection or strong high pressure keeps warmer outcomes (19 °C+) at combined odds below 16 %. Ensemble consistency across short-range guidance supports the tight clustering around 17–18 °C, with only modest upside risk if afternoon clearing strengthens.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 45%
17°C 35%
19°C 13%
16°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
35%
18°C
45%
19°C
13%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 45%
17°C 35%
19°C 13%
16°C 7%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
7%
17°C
35%
18°C
45%
19°C
13%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office and regional European guidance point to a daytime maximum of 17–18 °C in Amsterdam on June 15, 2026, under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with early-summer maritime air masses that limit diurnal warming, producing peak readings consistent with the 44.5 % market weight on 18 °C and 33.5 % on 17 °C. Historical June averages near 19 °C provide context, yet the absence of southerly advection or strong high pressure keeps warmer outcomes (19 °C+) at combined odds below 16 %. Ensemble consistency across short-range guidance supports the tight clustering around 17–18 °C, with only modest upside risk if afternoon clearing strengthens.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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