Trader sentiment for Chengdu's June 16 high temperature centers on forecasts showing 28–31°C under cloudy, humid conditions typical of the East Asian monsoon onset. Official and extended models indicate widespread cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating, consistent with climatological June averages of 28–30°C and limited extremes in the Sichuan basin. This supports the market's heaviest weighting toward 27°C or below through 29°C, as recent runs emphasize persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation rather than clear-sky intensification. Historical patterns confirm that mid-June highs rarely exceed 33°C without a strong subtropical ridge, which current guidance does not project. Updated model consensus in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C o meno 38%
28°C 22%
29°C 18%
30°C 12%
27°C o meno
38%
28°C
22%
29°C
18%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
27°C o meno 38%
28°C 22%
29°C 18%
30°C 12%
27°C o meno
38%
28°C
22%
29°C
18%
30°C
12%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu's June 16 high temperature centers on forecasts showing 28–31°C under cloudy, humid conditions typical of the East Asian monsoon onset. Official and extended models indicate widespread cloud cover and scattered showers suppressing daytime heating, consistent with climatological June averages of 28–30°C and limited extremes in the Sichuan basin. This supports the market's heaviest weighting toward 27°C or below through 29°C, as recent runs emphasize persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation rather than clear-sky intensification. Historical patterns confirm that mid-June highs rarely exceed 33°C without a strong subtropical ridge, which current guidance does not project. Updated model consensus in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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