Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on June 15 point to a peak temperature near 28–30°C amid the early East Asian monsoon, with thundery showers and cloud cover likely limiting surface heating. High humidity and light southwesterly winds typical of the season create conditions where even modest changes in convective activity or timing of rain can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Model consensus shows afternoon instability that may cap temperatures below the seasonal June average of ~31°C, yet clearer intervals could allow brief warming toward 30°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, weighting outcomes around 28–29°C highest because small differences in cloud fraction or storm onset determine whether insolation peaks early or is suppressed. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will clarify the most probable resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
29°C 36%
28°C 30%
30°C 22%
31°C 6.6%
$10,457 Vol.
$10,457 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
30%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 36%
28°C 30%
30°C 22%
31°C 6.6%
$10,457 Vol.
$10,457 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
30%
29°C
36%
30°C
22%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on June 15 point to a peak temperature near 28–30°C amid the early East Asian monsoon, with thundery showers and cloud cover likely limiting surface heating. High humidity and light southwesterly winds typical of the season create conditions where even modest changes in convective activity or timing of rain can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Model consensus shows afternoon instability that may cap temperatures below the seasonal June average of ~31°C, yet clearer intervals could allow brief warming toward 30°C. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, weighting outcomes around 28–29°C highest because small differences in cloud fraction or storm onset determine whether insolation peaks early or is suppressed. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will clarify the most probable resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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