Recent National Weather Service model consensus for New York City points to a mild overnight period on June 15 driven by moderate southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, favoring a daily minimum in the 66–69°F range. These conditions align with seasonal norms near the 67°F June average low, though slight variations in dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and any unexpected clear-sky windows could shift the outcome by 2–4°F. Trader sentiment remains split across the 64–69°F bins because ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with higher-resolution runs sensitive to mesoscale details like coastal sea-breeze timing. Updated NWS and GFS/ECMWF model cycles tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the next key inputs before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 15 giugno?
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 21%
64-65°F 21%
62-63°F 7%
55°F o inferiore
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
3%
74°F o superiore
2%
68-69°F 22%
66-67°F 21%
64-65°F 21%
62-63°F 7%
55°F o inferiore
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
4%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
21%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
3%
74°F o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model consensus for New York City points to a mild overnight period on June 15 driven by moderate southwesterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, favoring a daily minimum in the 66–69°F range. These conditions align with seasonal norms near the 67°F June average low, though slight variations in dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and any unexpected clear-sky windows could shift the outcome by 2–4°F. Trader sentiment remains split across the 64–69°F bins because ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with higher-resolution runs sensitive to mesoscale details like coastal sea-breeze timing. Updated NWS and GFS/ECMWF model cycles tonight and tomorrow morning will provide the next key inputs before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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