**Latest India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models indicate a peak temperature in Lucknow on June 15 likely between 37–39 °C, with the market’s tight clustering around 37 °C (28 %) and 38 °C (32.5 %) reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convective activity.** Pre-monsoon conditions feature high solar insolation and low humidity, but isolated thundershowers or increased cloud cover could cap the daily maximum by limiting surface heating and boosting evaporative cooling. Historical June averages near 39 °C and recent observations of 42–44 °C highs underscore how even modest changes in steering winds or moisture influx can shift outcomes by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore weighting model consensus on precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture as the decisive variables ahead of tomorrow’s official maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 15 giugno?
38°C 33%
37°C 28%
39°C 15%
36°C 9%
34°C o inferiore
<1%
35°C
3%
36°C
9%
37°C
28%
38°C
33%
39°C
15%
40°C
6%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C o superiore
<1%
38°C 33%
37°C 28%
39°C 15%
36°C 9%
34°C o inferiore
<1%
35°C
3%
36°C
9%
37°C
28%
38°C
33%
39°C
15%
40°C
6%
41°C
1%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest India Meteorological Department forecasts and ensemble models indicate a peak temperature in Lucknow on June 15 likely between 37–39 °C, with the market’s tight clustering around 37 °C (28 %) and 38 °C (32.5 %) reflecting uncertainty over afternoon convective activity.** Pre-monsoon conditions feature high solar insolation and low humidity, but isolated thundershowers or increased cloud cover could cap the daily maximum by limiting surface heating and boosting evaporative cooling. Historical June averages near 39 °C and recent observations of 42–44 °C highs underscore how even modest changes in steering winds or moisture influx can shift outcomes by 1–2 °C. Traders are therefore weighting model consensus on precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture as the decisive variables ahead of tomorrow’s official maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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