Recent model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles points to a daily minimum near 27–28°C on August 17, driven by expected showers and persistent cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity levels typical of the South China Sea monsoon trough. Above-normal seasonal temperatures through August–October, linked to long-term warming trends, support the tight clustering around these values, while variable steering flows and localized thunderstorm timing introduce modest spread that differentiates the 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range against climatological August lows near 26–27°C, with updated short-range guidance expected to refine resolution criteria before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 17 agosto?
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 26%
29°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C
26%
27°C
31%
28°C
33%
29°C
18%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 31%
28°C 28%
26°C 26%
29°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$27 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C
$46 Vol.
10%
26°C
$14 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
31%
28°C
$25 Vol.
33%
29°C
$0 Vol.
18%
30°C
$0 Vol.
7%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
33°C o superiore
$405 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles points to a daily minimum near 27–28°C on August 17, driven by expected showers and persistent cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity levels typical of the South China Sea monsoon trough. Above-normal seasonal temperatures through August–October, linked to long-term warming trends, support the tight clustering around these values, while variable steering flows and localized thunderstorm timing introduce modest spread that differentiates the 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range against climatological August lows near 26–27°C, with updated short-range guidance expected to refine resolution criteria before the 24-hour observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$542Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles points to a daily minimum near 27–28°C on August 17, driven by expected showers and persistent cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity levels typical of the South China Sea monsoon trough. Above-normal seasonal temperatures through August–October, linked to long-term warming trends, support the tight clustering around these values, while variable steering flows and localized thunderstorm timing introduce modest spread that differentiates the 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range against climatological August lows near 26–27°C, with updated short-range guidance expected to refine resolution criteria before the 24-hour observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$542Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles points to a daily minimum near 27–28°C on August 17, driven by expected showers and persistent cloud cover that limit overnight radiative cooling amid high humidity levels typical of the South China Sea monsoon trough. Above-normal seasonal temperatures through August–October, linked to long-term warming trends, support the tight clustering around these values, while variable steering flows and localized thunderstorm timing introduce modest spread that differentiates the 26°C and 29°C outcomes. Traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range against climatological August lows near 26–27°C, with updated short-range guidance expected to refine resolution criteria before the 24-hour observation window closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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