Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Karachi on August 16, driven by climatological norms during the southwest monsoon season when average daily maxima typically reach 31–32°C amid persistently hot and humid conditions. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department updates confirm ongoing hot, humid weather across the region with only weak monsoon incursions likely to produce isolated rain or thundershowers that could modestly suppress afternoon peaks. Forecast models show limited day-to-day variability through mid-August, supporting trader consensus around the long-term baseline rather than extremes. Inherent uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convection, with fresh model runs and official PMD briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Karachi il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Karachi il 16 agosto?
32°C 54%
33°C 20%
31°C 18%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
10%
31°C
18%
32°C
54%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C o superiore
<1%
32°C 54%
33°C 20%
31°C 18%
30°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
$72 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$24 Vol.
1%
29°C
$73 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
10%
31°C
$44 Vol.
18%
32°C
$93 Vol.
54%
33°C
$0 Vol.
20%
34°C
$1 Vol.
5%
35°C
$10 Vol.
7%
36°C
$10 Vol.
4%
37°C o superiore
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Karachi on August 16, driven by climatological norms during the southwest monsoon season when average daily maxima typically reach 31–32°C amid persistently hot and humid conditions. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department updates confirm ongoing hot, humid weather across the region with only weak monsoon incursions likely to produce isolated rain or thundershowers that could modestly suppress afternoon peaks. Forecast models show limited day-to-day variability through mid-August, supporting trader consensus around the long-term baseline rather than extremes. Inherent uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convection, with fresh model runs and official PMD briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$417Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Karachi on August 16, driven by climatological norms during the southwest monsoon season when average daily maxima typically reach 31–32°C amid persistently hot and humid conditions. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department updates confirm ongoing hot, humid weather across the region with only weak monsoon incursions likely to produce isolated rain or thundershowers that could modestly suppress afternoon peaks. Forecast models show limited day-to-day variability through mid-August, supporting trader consensus around the long-term baseline rather than extremes. Inherent uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convection, with fresh model runs and official PMD briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$417Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds strongly favor a 32°C high in Karachi on August 16, driven by climatological norms during the southwest monsoon season when average daily maxima typically reach 31–32°C amid persistently hot and humid conditions. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department updates confirm ongoing hot, humid weather across the region with only weak monsoon incursions likely to produce isolated rain or thundershowers that could modestly suppress afternoon peaks. Forecast models show limited day-to-day variability through mid-August, supporting trader consensus around the long-term baseline rather than extremes. Inherent uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or localized convection, with fresh model runs and official PMD briefings expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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