Latest ensemble forecasts for Shanghai on August 14 point to daytime maxima clustered around 28–30 °C under variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm potential, producing the tight market distribution between 28 °C (19 %), 29 °C (39.5 %), and 30 °C (30 %). Mid-August climatology features mean highs near 31–32 °C, but short-term model runs show modest cooling from increased moisture and reduced insolation associated with a weak trough or lingering monsoon influence. Urban heat-island effects at the official station can add 1–2 °C relative to rural sites, while timing of any afternoon convection or wind shifts may suppress peaks by 1–2 °C. With resolution only two days away, traders weigh the spread across updated model cycles from NOAA, ECMWF, and CMA against typical August variability of ±2 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 14 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 14 agosto?
29°C 40%
30°C 30%
28°C 19%
31°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
19%
29°C
40%
30°C
30%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 40%
30°C 30%
28°C 19%
31°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 ago 2026
24°C or below
$73 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C
$196 Vol.
4%
28°C
$83 Vol.
19%
29°C
$398 Vol.
40%
30°C
$10 Vol.
30%
31°C
$107 Vol.
8%
32°C
$54 Vol.
2%
33°C
$12 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$213 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts for Shanghai on August 14 point to daytime maxima clustered around 28–30 °C under variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm potential, producing the tight market distribution between 28 °C (19 %), 29 °C (39.5 %), and 30 °C (30 %). Mid-August climatology features mean highs near 31–32 °C, but short-term model runs show modest cooling from increased moisture and reduced insolation associated with a weak trough or lingering monsoon influence. Urban heat-island effects at the official station can add 1–2 °C relative to rural sites, while timing of any afternoon convection or wind shifts may suppress peaks by 1–2 °C. With resolution only two days away, traders weigh the spread across updated model cycles from NOAA, ECMWF, and CMA against typical August variability of ±2 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,155Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts for Shanghai on August 14 point to daytime maxima clustered around 28–30 °C under variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm potential, producing the tight market distribution between 28 °C (19 %), 29 °C (39.5 %), and 30 °C (30 %). Mid-August climatology features mean highs near 31–32 °C, but short-term model runs show modest cooling from increased moisture and reduced insolation associated with a weak trough or lingering monsoon influence. Urban heat-island effects at the official station can add 1–2 °C relative to rural sites, while timing of any afternoon convection or wind shifts may suppress peaks by 1–2 °C. With resolution only two days away, traders weigh the spread across updated model cycles from NOAA, ECMWF, and CMA against typical August variability of ±2 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,155Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts for Shanghai on August 14 point to daytime maxima clustered around 28–30 °C under variable cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm potential, producing the tight market distribution between 28 °C (19 %), 29 °C (39.5 %), and 30 °C (30 %). Mid-August climatology features mean highs near 31–32 °C, but short-term model runs show modest cooling from increased moisture and reduced insolation associated with a weak trough or lingering monsoon influence. Urban heat-island effects at the official station can add 1–2 °C relative to rural sites, while timing of any afternoon convection or wind shifts may suppress peaks by 1–2 °C. With resolution only two days away, traders weigh the spread across updated model cycles from NOAA, ECMWF, and CMA against typical August variability of ±2 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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