Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts project a 30°C daytime maximum in London on August 12 under persistent high pressure, with sunny spells and light easterly winds promoting warming after cooler readings near 26–27°C on the prior days. Ensemble model consensus supports this peak, though minor discrepancies in cloud cover or timing could shift the exact high by 1°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C. Historical August climatology shows similar late-summer highs under anticyclonic patterns, and traders are weighting official guidance heavily given the two-day horizon. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through August 11 will provide the next key data points for any revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 12 agosto?
30°C 43%
29°C 25%
31°C 24%
28°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
25%
30°C
43%
31°C
24%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C o superiore
<1%
30°C 43%
29°C 25%
31°C 24%
28°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
24°C or below
$404 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$611 Vol.
1%
27°C
$262 Vol.
3%
28°C
$420 Vol.
6%
29°C
$1,104 Vol.
25%
30°C
$1,134 Vol.
43%
31°C
$1,062 Vol.
24%
32°C
$473 Vol.
3%
33°C
$273 Vol.
3%
34°C o superiore
$374 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts project a 30°C daytime maximum in London on August 12 under persistent high pressure, with sunny spells and light easterly winds promoting warming after cooler readings near 26–27°C on the prior days. Ensemble model consensus supports this peak, though minor discrepancies in cloud cover or timing could shift the exact high by 1°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C. Historical August climatology shows similar late-summer highs under anticyclonic patterns, and traders are weighting official guidance heavily given the two-day horizon. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through August 11 will provide the next key data points for any revisions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,506Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts project a 30°C daytime maximum in London on August 12 under persistent high pressure, with sunny spells and light easterly winds promoting warming after cooler readings near 26–27°C on the prior days. Ensemble model consensus supports this peak, though minor discrepancies in cloud cover or timing could shift the exact high by 1°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C. Historical August climatology shows similar late-summer highs under anticyclonic patterns, and traders are weighting official guidance heavily given the two-day horizon. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through August 11 will provide the next key data points for any revisions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,506Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts project a 30°C daytime maximum in London on August 12 under persistent high pressure, with sunny spells and light easterly winds promoting warming after cooler readings near 26–27°C on the prior days. Ensemble model consensus supports this peak, though minor discrepancies in cloud cover or timing could shift the exact high by 1°C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–31°C. Historical August climatology shows similar late-summer highs under anticyclonic patterns, and traders are weighting official guidance heavily given the two-day horizon. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through August 11 will provide the next key data points for any revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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