Ensemble forecast guidance from regional meteorological models places Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions on August 12, supporting an afternoon maximum near 28°C with a narrow spread that favors this outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology shows daily highs of 27–29°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with historical norms without significant deviations from baseline conditions. Secondary outcomes at 27°C and 29°C reflect minor ensemble variations in boundary-layer heating and wind patterns. Traders are monitoring the next short-range model runs for any shifts in steering flow or moisture that could alter peak temperatures before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 12 agosto?
28°C 57%
29°C 21%
27°C 18%
30°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
18%
28°C
57%
29°C
21%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 57%
29°C 21%
27°C 18%
30°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
23°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$209 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$165 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,037 Vol.
18%
28°C
$1,214 Vol.
57%
29°C
$408 Vol.
21%
30°C
$119 Vol.
4%
31°C
$153 Vol.
1%
32°C
$10 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$755 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast guidance from regional meteorological models places Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions on August 12, supporting an afternoon maximum near 28°C with a narrow spread that favors this outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology shows daily highs of 27–29°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with historical norms without significant deviations from baseline conditions. Secondary outcomes at 27°C and 29°C reflect minor ensemble variations in boundary-layer heating and wind patterns. Traders are monitoring the next short-range model runs for any shifts in steering flow or moisture that could alter peak temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$4,306Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast guidance from regional meteorological models places Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions on August 12, supporting an afternoon maximum near 28°C with a narrow spread that favors this outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology shows daily highs of 27–29°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with historical norms without significant deviations from baseline conditions. Secondary outcomes at 27°C and 29°C reflect minor ensemble variations in boundary-layer heating and wind patterns. Traders are monitoring the next short-range model runs for any shifts in steering flow or moisture that could alter peak temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,306Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecast guidance from regional meteorological models places Istanbul under stable high-pressure conditions on August 12, supporting an afternoon maximum near 28°C with a narrow spread that favors this outcome at 56.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology shows daily highs of 27–29°C, and current model consensus aligns closely with historical norms without significant deviations from baseline conditions. Secondary outcomes at 27°C and 29°C reflect minor ensemble variations in boundary-layer heating and wind patterns. Traders are monitoring the next short-range model runs for any shifts in steering flow or moisture that could alter peak temperatures before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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