Recent forecast guidance from major models shows Moscow under the influence of cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover, keeping the August 12 maximum clustered near 17–18 °C. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in predicted frontal timing or daytime insolation create the near-even market split between those two bins, with lower odds on 19 °C reflecting only modest warm-air advection potential. Historical climatology for mid-August places typical highs near 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a noticeable negative anomaly driven by the ongoing synoptic setup. Updated short-range runs and official observations on the day itself will resolve the exact peak temperature within the narrow uncertainty range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 12 agosto?
17°C 35%
18°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
35%
18°C
35%
19°C
14%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
3%
17°C 35%
18°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
12°C or below
$30 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$275 Vol.
2%
14°C
$270 Vol.
1%
15°C
$274 Vol.
2%
16°C
$232 Vol.
9%
17°C
$248 Vol.
35%
18°C
$101 Vol.
35%
19°C
$203 Vol.
14%
20°C
$113 Vol.
4%
21°C
$44 Vol.
2%
22°C or higher
$27 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from major models shows Moscow under the influence of cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover, keeping the August 12 maximum clustered near 17–18 °C. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in predicted frontal timing or daytime insolation create the near-even market split between those two bins, with lower odds on 19 °C reflecting only modest warm-air advection potential. Historical climatology for mid-August places typical highs near 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a noticeable negative anomaly driven by the ongoing synoptic setup. Updated short-range runs and official observations on the day itself will resolve the exact peak temperature within the narrow uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$1,816Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from major models shows Moscow under the influence of cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover, keeping the August 12 maximum clustered near 17–18 °C. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in predicted frontal timing or daytime insolation create the near-even market split between those two bins, with lower odds on 19 °C reflecting only modest warm-air advection potential. Historical climatology for mid-August places typical highs near 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a noticeable negative anomaly driven by the ongoing synoptic setup. Updated short-range runs and official observations on the day itself will resolve the exact peak temperature within the narrow uncertainty range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,816Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from major models shows Moscow under the influence of cooler northerly flow and increased cloud cover, keeping the August 12 maximum clustered near 17–18 °C. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in predicted frontal timing or daytime insolation create the near-even market split between those two bins, with lower odds on 19 °C reflecting only modest warm-air advection potential. Historical climatology for mid-August places typical highs near 22 °C, so the current pattern represents a noticeable negative anomaly driven by the ongoing synoptic setup. Updated short-range runs and official observations on the day itself will resolve the exact peak temperature within the narrow uncertainty range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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