Recent hot conditions in northern Taiwan, including a verified 37°C high in Taipei on August 5, have anchored trader focus on the 36–37°C outcomes for August 10. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects typically amplify daytime maxima in the city during early-to-mid August, when climatological averages reach 32–34°C but short-term extremes often climb higher amid low wind and high humidity. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus currently point to mostly sunny skies with only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation, keeping the distribution of possible peaks tightly clustered around 35–37°C. Minor differences among these outcomes hinge on small forecast variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, all of which remain uncertain two days out and will be clarified by updated model runs and CWA briefings before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 10 agosto?
37°C 28%
36°C 28%
35°C 22%
38°C 16%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
8%
35°C
22%
36°C
28%
37°C
28%
38°C
16%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
2%
37°C 28%
36°C 28%
35°C 22%
38°C 16%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
8%
35°C
22%
36°C
28%
37°C
28%
38°C
16%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hot conditions in northern Taiwan, including a verified 37°C high in Taipei on August 5, have anchored trader focus on the 36–37°C outcomes for August 10. Subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects typically amplify daytime maxima in the city during early-to-mid August, when climatological averages reach 32–34°C but short-term extremes often climb higher amid low wind and high humidity. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble model consensus currently point to mostly sunny skies with only modest afternoon sea-breeze moderation, keeping the distribution of possible peaks tightly clustered around 35–37°C. Minor differences among these outcomes hinge on small forecast variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any weak frontal passage, all of which remain uncertain two days out and will be clarified by updated model runs and CWA briefings before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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