Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to overnight minimums near 27–28°C on August 8 amid persistently hot, humid subtropical conditions and above-normal seasonal temperatures. High dew points and variable cloud cover from residual moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around long-term August climatology of 26–27°C lows. Forecasters note modest day-to-day variability tied to shower timing and boundary-layer winds, while the recent passage of Typhoon Dolphin has left a warmer, more stable airmass. With no strong steering features or major tropical systems imminent, traders weigh subtle differences in forecast humidity and cloud trends that could nudge the official observatory reading one degree either way.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong l'8 agosto?
27°C 36%
28°C 34%
29°C 21%
26°C 19%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
19%
27°C
36%
28°C
34%
29°C
12%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
1%
27°C 36%
28°C 34%
29°C 21%
26°C 19%
22°C o inferiore
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
19%
27°C
36%
28°C
34%
29°C
12%
30°C
8%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models point to overnight minimums near 27–28°C on August 8 amid persistently hot, humid subtropical conditions and above-normal seasonal temperatures. High dew points and variable cloud cover from residual moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around long-term August climatology of 26–27°C lows. Forecasters note modest day-to-day variability tied to shower timing and boundary-layer winds, while the recent passage of Typhoon Dolphin has left a warmer, more stable airmass. With no strong steering features or major tropical systems imminent, traders weigh subtle differences in forecast humidity and cloud trends that could nudge the official observatory reading one degree either way.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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