Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a daytime high near 34°C for Taipei on August 6 under continued subtropical high pressure and easterly flow, with limited cloud cover or showers expected to moderate heating. This aligns with August climatology showing average highs of 32–34°C and recent days reaching 34–35°C. Trader emphasis on the 35°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability reflects model consensus for peak readings in the mid-30s, while 36°C at 30.5% accounts for potential slight intensification or station variations. No significant cooling systems or typhoon influences appear imminent, keeping probabilities concentrated between 34–36°C ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 6 agosto?
35°C 42%
36°C 31%
34°C 21%
33°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
21%
35°C
42%
36°C
31%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 42%
36°C 31%
34°C 21%
33°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
21%
35°C
42%
36°C
31%
37°C
5%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a daytime high near 34°C for Taipei on August 6 under continued subtropical high pressure and easterly flow, with limited cloud cover or showers expected to moderate heating. This aligns with August climatology showing average highs of 32–34°C and recent days reaching 34–35°C. Trader emphasis on the 35°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability reflects model consensus for peak readings in the mid-30s, while 36°C at 30.5% accounts for potential slight intensification or station variations. No significant cooling systems or typhoon influences appear imminent, keeping probabilities concentrated between 34–36°C ahead of the official daily maximum reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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