Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon International Airport—the official Seoul reference station—call for a daytime maximum of 34°C on August 5 under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and high humidity, aligning closely with the market’s 81% implied probability for that outcome. Ongoing regional heatwave conditions, driven by strong subsidence and suppressed nocturnal cooling, have kept recent daily highs in the low-to-mid 30s, providing climatological context for today’s expected peak near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Minimal model spread and low precipitation odds (around 10%) limit upside risk to 35°C or higher, while historical early-August averages near 29–31°C underscore why traders heavily discount cooler brackets. Updated KMA guidance and real-time station readings will determine final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul (Incheon) il 5 agosto?
34°C 78%
35°C 19%
36°C 3%
37°C o superiore <1%
NUOVO
$76,290 Vol.
NUOVO
$76,290 Vol.
5 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
78%
35°C
19%
36°C
3%
37°C o superiore
<1%
34°C 78%
35°C 19%
36°C 3%
37°C o superiore <1%
NUOVO
$76,290 Vol.
NUOVO
$76,290 Vol.
5 ago 2026
27°C o inferiore
$765 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$627 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$872 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,520 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,863 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$9,597 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$11,275 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$11,364 Vol.
78%
35°C
$13,339 Vol.
19%
36°C
$11,637 Vol.
3%
37°C o superiore
$7,431 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon International Airport—the official Seoul reference station—call for a daytime maximum of 34°C on August 5 under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and high humidity, aligning closely with the market’s 81% implied probability for that outcome. Ongoing regional heatwave conditions, driven by strong subsidence and suppressed nocturnal cooling, have kept recent daily highs in the low-to-mid 30s, providing climatological context for today’s expected peak near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Minimal model spread and low precipitation odds (around 10%) limit upside risk to 35°C or higher, while historical early-August averages near 29–31°C underscore why traders heavily discount cooler brackets. Updated KMA guidance and real-time station readings will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$76,290Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon International Airport—the official Seoul reference station—call for a daytime maximum of 34°C on August 5 under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and high humidity, aligning closely with the market’s 81% implied probability for that outcome. Ongoing regional heatwave conditions, driven by strong subsidence and suppressed nocturnal cooling, have kept recent daily highs in the low-to-mid 30s, providing climatological context for today’s expected peak near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Minimal model spread and low precipitation odds (around 10%) limit upside risk to 35°C or higher, while historical early-August averages near 29–31°C underscore why traders heavily discount cooler brackets. Updated KMA guidance and real-time station readings will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76,290Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon International Airport—the official Seoul reference station—call for a daytime maximum of 34°C on August 5 under mostly sunny skies, light winds, and high humidity, aligning closely with the market’s 81% implied probability for that outcome. Ongoing regional heatwave conditions, driven by strong subsidence and suppressed nocturnal cooling, have kept recent daily highs in the low-to-mid 30s, providing climatological context for today’s expected peak near seasonal norms rather than extremes. Minimal model spread and low precipitation odds (around 10%) limit upside risk to 35°C or higher, while historical early-August averages near 29–31°C underscore why traders heavily discount cooler brackets. Updated KMA guidance and real-time station readings will determine final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti