Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Austin indicate afternoon highs near 99°F on August 6, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow under a strong subtropical ridge supporting peak heating. This positions the 98–99°F bin as the market leader, followed closely by 100–101°F, reflecting minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint trends, and any late-day convection that could cap temperatures. Historical climatology shows early-August maxima averaging 97–99°F at Austin-Bergstrom, with occasional exceedances when subsidence strengthens; current drier-than-normal soil conditions may enhance daytime warming but also raise heat-index values. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and afternoon soundings for shifts in the thermal profile before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 6 agosto?
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 37%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
89°F o inferiore
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F o superiore
<1%
98-99°F 45%
100-101°F 37%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
89°F o inferiore
$38 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$131 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$479 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$45 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$261 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$64 Vol.
45%
100-101°F
$78 Vol.
37%
102-103°F
$85 Vol.
9%
104-105°F
$223 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$99 Vol.
<1%
108°F o superiore
$93 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Austin indicate afternoon highs near 99°F on August 6, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow under a strong subtropical ridge supporting peak heating. This positions the 98–99°F bin as the market leader, followed closely by 100–101°F, reflecting minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint trends, and any late-day convection that could cap temperatures. Historical climatology shows early-August maxima averaging 97–99°F at Austin-Bergstrom, with occasional exceedances when subsidence strengthens; current drier-than-normal soil conditions may enhance daytime warming but also raise heat-index values. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and afternoon soundings for shifts in the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,595Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Austin indicate afternoon highs near 99°F on August 6, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow under a strong subtropical ridge supporting peak heating. This positions the 98–99°F bin as the market leader, followed closely by 100–101°F, reflecting minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint trends, and any late-day convection that could cap temperatures. Historical climatology shows early-August maxima averaging 97–99°F at Austin-Bergstrom, with occasional exceedances when subsidence strengthens; current drier-than-normal soil conditions may enhance daytime warming but also raise heat-index values. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and afternoon soundings for shifts in the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,595Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Austin indicate afternoon highs near 99°F on August 6, with limited cloud cover and light southerly flow under a strong subtropical ridge supporting peak heating. This positions the 98–99°F bin as the market leader, followed closely by 100–101°F, reflecting minor uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, dewpoint trends, and any late-day convection that could cap temperatures. Historical climatology shows early-August maxima averaging 97–99°F at Austin-Bergstrom, with occasional exceedances when subsidence strengthens; current drier-than-normal soil conditions may enhance daytime warming but also raise heat-index values. Traders are monitoring the next NWS update and afternoon soundings for shifts in the thermal profile before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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