Market-implied odds favor a peak of 34–35°C or higher in Chengdu today, reflecting typical early-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where subtropical monsoon patterns and topographic heat trapping often produce daytime maxima around 30–34°C. High humidity amplifies perceived heat, while recent years show an upward trend in days exceeding 35°C linked to broader warming, pushing the 35°C+ bracket to near-even money. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate modest variability from cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap or elevate readings, with traders incorporating model consensus on minimal cooling from frontal systems. Historical baselines place August averages near 31°C, yet increasing extreme-heat frequency supports the current distribution ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Chengdu il 5 agosto?
35°C or higher 48%
34°C 32%
33°C 13%
32°C 3%
NUOVO
$26,598 Vol.
NUOVO
$26,598 Vol.
5 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
13%
34°C
32%
35°C or higher
48%
35°C or higher 48%
34°C 32%
33°C 13%
32°C 3%
NUOVO
$26,598 Vol.
NUOVO
$26,598 Vol.
5 ago 2026
25°C or below
$409 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,851 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,665 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,892 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,809 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,047 Vol.
3%
33°C
$1,658 Vol.
13%
34°C
$3,675 Vol.
32%
35°C or higher
$7,944 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor a peak of 34–35°C or higher in Chengdu today, reflecting typical early-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where subtropical monsoon patterns and topographic heat trapping often produce daytime maxima around 30–34°C. High humidity amplifies perceived heat, while recent years show an upward trend in days exceeding 35°C linked to broader warming, pushing the 35°C+ bracket to near-even money. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate modest variability from cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap or elevate readings, with traders incorporating model consensus on minimal cooling from frontal systems. Historical baselines place August averages near 31°C, yet increasing extreme-heat frequency supports the current distribution ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$26,598Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds favor a peak of 34–35°C or higher in Chengdu today, reflecting typical early-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where subtropical monsoon patterns and topographic heat trapping often produce daytime maxima around 30–34°C. High humidity amplifies perceived heat, while recent years show an upward trend in days exceeding 35°C linked to broader warming, pushing the 35°C+ bracket to near-even money. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate modest variability from cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap or elevate readings, with traders incorporating model consensus on minimal cooling from frontal systems. Historical baselines place August averages near 31°C, yet increasing extreme-heat frequency supports the current distribution ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,598Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds favor a peak of 34–35°C or higher in Chengdu today, reflecting typical early-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin where subtropical monsoon patterns and topographic heat trapping often produce daytime maxima around 30–34°C. High humidity amplifies perceived heat, while recent years show an upward trend in days exceeding 35°C linked to broader warming, pushing the 35°C+ bracket to near-even money. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate modest variability from cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap or elevate readings, with traders incorporating model consensus on minimal cooling from frontal systems. Historical baselines place August averages near 31°C, yet increasing extreme-heat frequency supports the current distribution ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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