The Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast for August 5, 2026, projects a Tokyo maximum of 30°C under initially clear skies giving way to afternoon cloud cover, which has anchored overwhelming trader consensus on that precise outcome. Moderate Pacific high pressure and seasonal subtropical humidity support typical August peaks near 31–32°C, yet the day's steering pattern and limited solar heating keep readings from exceeding the 30°C threshold according to updated model runs and morning observations. Real-time data releases from monitoring stations reinforce this narrow band, while historical climatology shows such days can resolve near or just below normal without major deviations. An unexpected break in cloud cover or stronger insolation could realistically push the high to 31°C or above before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 5 agosto?
30°C 99.7%
31°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$82,058 Vol.
$82,058 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.7%
31°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$82,058 Vol.
$82,058 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency's official forecast for August 5, 2026, projects a Tokyo maximum of 30°C under initially clear skies giving way to afternoon cloud cover, which has anchored overwhelming trader consensus on that precise outcome. Moderate Pacific high pressure and seasonal subtropical humidity support typical August peaks near 31–32°C, yet the day's steering pattern and limited solar heating keep readings from exceeding the 30°C threshold according to updated model runs and morning observations. Real-time data releases from monitoring stations reinforce this narrow band, while historical climatology shows such days can resolve near or just below normal without major deviations. An unexpected break in cloud cover or stronger insolation could realistically push the high to 31°C or above before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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