Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 5 is expected to reach 24°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble forecasts, reflecting typical early-August climatology with overnight lows near 24–25°C amid persistent high humidity and subtropical airflow. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited cooling potential overnight due to cloud cover and light winds, keeping readings above 23°C in most scenarios. The 95% market-implied probability for 24°C captures this strong alignment between current observations, historical baselines, and short-range predictions. A realistic shift toward 23°C or lower would require an unforecasted influx of cooler maritime air or measurement error at official stations, outcomes that remain low-probability given the stability of the steering pattern and consensus among updated model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Tokyo il 5 agosto?
24°C 95%
23°C 9%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
NUOVO
$10,337 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,337 Vol.
5 ago 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
95%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
24°C 95%
23°C 9%
22°C <1%
20°C <1%
NUOVO
$10,337 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,337 Vol.
5 ago 2026
18°C o inferiore
$297 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$461 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$600 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,900 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,629 Vol.
9%
24°C
$2,188 Vol.
95%
25°C
$1,247 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$891 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
28°C o superiore
$359 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 5 is expected to reach 24°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble forecasts, reflecting typical early-August climatology with overnight lows near 24–25°C amid persistent high humidity and subtropical airflow. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited cooling potential overnight due to cloud cover and light winds, keeping readings above 23°C in most scenarios. The 95% market-implied probability for 24°C captures this strong alignment between current observations, historical baselines, and short-range predictions. A realistic shift toward 23°C or lower would require an unforecasted influx of cooler maritime air or measurement error at official stations, outcomes that remain low-probability given the stability of the steering pattern and consensus among updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$10,337Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 5 is expected to reach 24°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble forecasts, reflecting typical early-August climatology with overnight lows near 24–25°C amid persistent high humidity and subtropical airflow. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited cooling potential overnight due to cloud cover and light winds, keeping readings above 23°C in most scenarios. The 95% market-implied probability for 24°C captures this strong alignment between current observations, historical baselines, and short-range predictions. A realistic shift toward 23°C or lower would require an unforecasted influx of cooler maritime air or measurement error at official stations, outcomes that remain low-probability given the stability of the steering pattern and consensus among updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,337Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tokyo's minimum temperature on August 5 is expected to reach 24°C according to Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble forecasts, reflecting typical early-August climatology with overnight lows near 24–25°C amid persistent high humidity and subtropical airflow. Model consensus from regional guidance shows limited cooling potential overnight due to cloud cover and light winds, keeping readings above 23°C in most scenarios. The 95% market-implied probability for 24°C captures this strong alignment between current observations, historical baselines, and short-range predictions. A realistic shift toward 23°C or lower would require an unforecasted influx of cooler maritime air or measurement error at official stations, outcomes that remain low-probability given the stability of the steering pattern and consensus among updated model runs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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