Recent DWD and multi-model guidance point to a peak temperature in Munich on August 5 driven by a broad high-pressure ridge promoting southerly warm-air advection and strong daytime insolation under mostly clear skies. Official runs show afternoon maxima clustering between 33 °C and 36 °C, with ICON and ECMWF ensembles favoring the lower half of that range while earlier guidance had briefly hinted at 36 °C. The 34 °C outcome leads market-implied odds because it aligns with the current consensus maximum from DWD-MOS and local stations, tempered by modest model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger mixing or earlier cloud build-up. Historical early-August climatology places typical daily highs near 25–27 °C, so the elevated forecast reflects a transient heat anomaly rather than seasonal norms. Updated model runs and official DWD briefings expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts.