Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Warsaw's August 6 maximum likely peaking near 32–33 °C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes strong daytime radiative heating and weak subsidence warming. Southerly flow is advecting warmer continental air while limited cloud cover and low soil moisture amplify surface temperatures; however, slight variations in timing of any afternoon convection or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C outcomes. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 25–26 °C, so this episode reflects an anomalous warm anomaly whose exact peak will be resolved by official IMGW station readings at the close of the diurnal cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Varsavia il 6 agosto?
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
34°C 15%
31°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
29°C o meno
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
31%
33°C
36%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o superiore
<1%
33°C 36%
32°C 31%
34°C 15%
31°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
29°C o meno
$641 Vol.
2%
30°C
$278 Vol.
4%
31°C
$605 Vol.
13%
32°C
$443 Vol.
31%
33°C
$3,177 Vol.
36%
34°C
$744 Vol.
15%
35°C
$645 Vol.
3%
36°C
$98 Vol.
1%
37°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
39°C o superiore
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Warsaw's August 6 maximum likely peaking near 32–33 °C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes strong daytime radiative heating and weak subsidence warming. Southerly flow is advecting warmer continental air while limited cloud cover and low soil moisture amplify surface temperatures; however, slight variations in timing of any afternoon convection or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C outcomes. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 25–26 °C, so this episode reflects an anomalous warm anomaly whose exact peak will be resolved by official IMGW station readings at the close of the diurnal cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,414Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Warsaw's August 6 maximum likely peaking near 32–33 °C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes strong daytime radiative heating and weak subsidence warming. Southerly flow is advecting warmer continental air while limited cloud cover and low soil moisture amplify surface temperatures; however, slight variations in timing of any afternoon convection or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C outcomes. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 25–26 °C, so this episode reflects an anomalous warm anomaly whose exact peak will be resolved by official IMGW station readings at the close of the diurnal cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,414Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Warsaw's August 6 maximum likely peaking near 32–33 °C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge that promotes strong daytime radiative heating and weak subsidence warming. Southerly flow is advecting warmer continental air while limited cloud cover and low soil moisture amplify surface temperatures; however, slight variations in timing of any afternoon convection or boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 32 °C and 34 °C outcomes. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 25–26 °C, so this episode reflects an anomalous warm anomaly whose exact peak will be resolved by official IMGW station readings at the close of the diurnal cycle.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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