Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high of 25–26°C in London on August 5, driven by a shift to cooler, breezier conditions with sunny intervals following earlier heatwave peaks. This aligns with historical August averages near 23°C and reflects typical post-heatwave moderation from Atlantic influences. Trader consensus on these thresholds as leading outcomes stems from consistent model runs showing limited daytime heating under moderate winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 27°C or dropping below 24°C absent major forecast revisions. Upcoming official observations from urban stations will resolve the market, underscoring how short-term atmospheric steering patterns shape these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 5 agosto?
25°C 51%
26°C 31%
24°C 17%
23°C 2%
$71,873 Vol.
$71,873 Vol.
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
17%
25°C
51%
26°C
31%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 51%
26°C 31%
24°C 17%
23°C 2%
$71,873 Vol.
$71,873 Vol.
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
17%
25°C
51%
26°C
31%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a high of 25–26°C in London on August 5, driven by a shift to cooler, breezier conditions with sunny intervals following earlier heatwave peaks. This aligns with historical August averages near 23°C and reflects typical post-heatwave moderation from Atlantic influences. Trader consensus on these thresholds as leading outcomes stems from consistent model runs showing limited daytime heating under moderate winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 27°C or dropping below 24°C absent major forecast revisions. Upcoming official observations from urban stations will resolve the market, underscoring how short-term atmospheric steering patterns shape these implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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