Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance point to peak temperatures reaching 37 °C in Taipei on August 5 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light easterly flow that favors daytime heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 33–34 °C, yet current conditions have consistently produced upper-30s readings without significant cooling from clouds or precipitation. The 91.5 % market-implied probability for 37 °C reflects this strong observational and model consensus, with resolution tied to the official CWA station maximum. Only an unforecasted late-day shower or measurement anomaly could realistically shift the outcome downward.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Taipei il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Taipei il 5 agosto?
37°C 92%
38°C 5.3%
39°C or higher <1%
29°C or below <1%
$48,255 Vol.
$48,255 Vol.
5 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
92%
38°C
5%
39°C or higher
1%
37°C 92%
38°C 5.3%
39°C or higher <1%
29°C or below <1%
$48,255 Vol.
$48,255 Vol.
5 ago 2026
29°C or below
$868 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$462 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,157 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,630 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,586 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,114 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$8,457 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$10,370 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$5,410 Vol.
92%
38°C
$5,621 Vol.
5%
39°C or higher
$9,226 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance point to peak temperatures reaching 37 °C in Taipei on August 5 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light easterly flow that favors daytime heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 33–34 °C, yet current conditions have consistently produced upper-30s readings without significant cooling from clouds or precipitation. The 91.5 % market-implied probability for 37 °C reflects this strong observational and model consensus, with resolution tied to the official CWA station maximum. Only an unforecasted late-day shower or measurement anomaly could realistically shift the outcome downward.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$48,255Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance point to peak temperatures reaching 37 °C in Taipei on August 5 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light easterly flow that favors daytime heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 33–34 °C, yet current conditions have consistently produced upper-30s readings without significant cooling from clouds or precipitation. The 91.5 % market-implied probability for 37 °C reflects this strong observational and model consensus, with resolution tied to the official CWA station maximum. Only an unforecasted late-day shower or measurement anomaly could realistically shift the outcome downward.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,255Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance point to peak temperatures reaching 37 °C in Taipei on August 5 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light easterly flow that favors daytime heating. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 33–34 °C, yet current conditions have consistently produced upper-30s readings without significant cooling from clouds or precipitation. The 91.5 % market-implied probability for 37 °C reflects this strong observational and model consensus, with resolution tied to the official CWA station maximum. Only an unforecasted late-day shower or measurement anomaly could realistically shift the outcome downward.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti