**The market's near-certain positioning on 84–85°F reflects the official observed high of 84°F at Central Park on August 4, 2026, recorded at 1:46 p.m. and consistent with the NWS climate summary maximum of 85°F.** This outcome aligns with early-August climatological normals of 83–85°F, driven by moderate southwest flow, limited moisture, partial cloud cover, and only modest afternoon heating under typical steering patterns rather than anomalous ridging. NOAA and local model consensus had centered on this narrow range, with marine influences or scattered convection capping any upside. Lower-probability bins were discounted because deviations would have required atypical conditions such as stronger high pressure or unexpected clear skies, neither of which materialized in real-time observations or final data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 4 agosto?
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F o inferiore <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$66,080 Vol.
$66,080 Vol.
4 ago 2026
73°F o inferiore
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o superiore
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
73°F o inferiore <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$66,080 Vol.
$66,080 Vol.
4 ago 2026
73°F o inferiore
$488 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$513 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$841 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$7,869 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$13,659 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$13,515 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$12,540 Vol.
100%
86-87°F
$7,478 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$4,974 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$3,406 Vol.
<1%
92°F o superiore
$819 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's near-certain positioning on 84–85°F reflects the official observed high of 84°F at Central Park on August 4, 2026, recorded at 1:46 p.m. and consistent with the NWS climate summary maximum of 85°F.** This outcome aligns with early-August climatological normals of 83–85°F, driven by moderate southwest flow, limited moisture, partial cloud cover, and only modest afternoon heating under typical steering patterns rather than anomalous ridging. NOAA and local model consensus had centered on this narrow range, with marine influences or scattered convection capping any upside. Lower-probability bins were discounted because deviations would have required atypical conditions such as stronger high pressure or unexpected clear skies, neither of which materialized in real-time observations or final data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$66,080Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The market's near-certain positioning on 84–85°F reflects the official observed high of 84°F at Central Park on August 4, 2026, recorded at 1:46 p.m. and consistent with the NWS climate summary maximum of 85°F.** This outcome aligns with early-August climatological normals of 83–85°F, driven by moderate southwest flow, limited moisture, partial cloud cover, and only modest afternoon heating under typical steering patterns rather than anomalous ridging. NOAA and local model consensus had centered on this narrow range, with marine influences or scattered convection capping any upside. Lower-probability bins were discounted because deviations would have required atypical conditions such as stronger high pressure or unexpected clear skies, neither of which materialized in real-time observations or final data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66,080Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The market's near-certain positioning on 84–85°F reflects the official observed high of 84°F at Central Park on August 4, 2026, recorded at 1:46 p.m. and consistent with the NWS climate summary maximum of 85°F.** This outcome aligns with early-August climatological normals of 83–85°F, driven by moderate southwest flow, limited moisture, partial cloud cover, and only modest afternoon heating under typical steering patterns rather than anomalous ridging. NOAA and local model consensus had centered on this narrow range, with marine influences or scattered convection capping any upside. Lower-probability bins were discounted because deviations would have required atypical conditions such as stronger high pressure or unexpected clear skies, neither of which materialized in real-time observations or final data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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