Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs point to persistent high pressure and southerly flow favoring clear skies and modest warming over Paris on August 5, with a projected daytime maximum near 29°C under dry, sunny conditions. This places the market’s leading 29°C (51%) and 28°C (45%) outcomes in close contention, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and the precise timing of any residual morning cloud or light advection. Seasonal norms for early August average 25–28°C, so the forecast sits slightly above climatology yet well below earlier 2026 heatwave peaks. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between these two outcomes against the final official maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations, with resolution expected once daily observations are confirmed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 5 agosto?
29°C 50%
28°C 43%
27°C 6%
30°C 5.7%
NUOVO
$84,681 Vol.
NUOVO
$84,681 Vol.
5 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
43%
29°C
50%
30°C
6%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 50%
28°C 43%
27°C 6%
30°C 5.7%
NUOVO
$84,681 Vol.
NUOVO
$84,681 Vol.
5 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
$12,100 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,365 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$12,146 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$8,073 Vol.
6%
28°C
$11,517 Vol.
43%
29°C
$13,332 Vol.
50%
30°C
$9,188 Vol.
6%
31°C
$5,773 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,742 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,275 Vol.
<1%
34°C o superiore
$3,170 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs point to persistent high pressure and southerly flow favoring clear skies and modest warming over Paris on August 5, with a projected daytime maximum near 29°C under dry, sunny conditions. This places the market’s leading 29°C (51%) and 28°C (45%) outcomes in close contention, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and the precise timing of any residual morning cloud or light advection. Seasonal norms for early August average 25–28°C, so the forecast sits slightly above climatology yet well below earlier 2026 heatwave peaks. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between these two outcomes against the final official maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations, with resolution expected once daily observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$84,681Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs point to persistent high pressure and southerly flow favoring clear skies and modest warming over Paris on August 5, with a projected daytime maximum near 29°C under dry, sunny conditions. This places the market’s leading 29°C (51%) and 28°C (45%) outcomes in close contention, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and the precise timing of any residual morning cloud or light advection. Seasonal norms for early August average 25–28°C, so the forecast sits slightly above climatology yet well below earlier 2026 heatwave peaks. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between these two outcomes against the final official maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations, with resolution expected once daily observations are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$84,681Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF model runs point to persistent high pressure and southerly flow favoring clear skies and modest warming over Paris on August 5, with a projected daytime maximum near 29°C under dry, sunny conditions. This places the market’s leading 29°C (51%) and 28°C (45%) outcomes in close contention, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer mixing, local urban heat-island effects, and the precise timing of any residual morning cloud or light advection. Seasonal norms for early August average 25–28°C, so the forecast sits slightly above climatology yet well below earlier 2026 heatwave peaks. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between these two outcomes against the final official maximum recorded at Paris-Montsouris or equivalent stations, with resolution expected once daily observations are confirmed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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