Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts position Seattle for a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s on August 5 amid a warmer-than-average summer pattern, with model consensus favoring peak temperatures near 86–88°F under clear to partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 86–87°F outcome at 42% implied probability, as historical August averages hover near 75–79°F while 2026 has seen persistent above-normal heat. Minor model spreads and local urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty around exact peak readings, though resolution depends on official Sea-Tac Airport observations. Updated short-range guidance and any afternoon sea-breeze shifts remain key variables for final positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Seattle il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Seattle il 5 agosto?
86-87°F 42%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 17%
82-83°F 5.3%
NUOVO
$37,278 Vol.
NUOVO
$37,278 Vol.
5 ago 2026
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
42%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 42%
84-85°F 27%
88-89°F 17%
82-83°F 5.3%
NUOVO
$37,278 Vol.
NUOVO
$37,278 Vol.
5 ago 2026
79°F or below
$7,220 Vol.
2%
80-81°F
$10,198 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$3,959 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$2,171 Vol.
27%
86-87°F
$2,744 Vol.
42%
88-89°F
$5,584 Vol.
17%
90-91°F
$2,393 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$1,005 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$428 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$895 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$682 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts position Seattle for a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s on August 5 amid a warmer-than-average summer pattern, with model consensus favoring peak temperatures near 86–88°F under clear to partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 86–87°F outcome at 42% implied probability, as historical August averages hover near 75–79°F while 2026 has seen persistent above-normal heat. Minor model spreads and local urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty around exact peak readings, though resolution depends on official Sea-Tac Airport observations. Updated short-range guidance and any afternoon sea-breeze shifts remain key variables for final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$37,278Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts position Seattle for a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s on August 5 amid a warmer-than-average summer pattern, with model consensus favoring peak temperatures near 86–88°F under clear to partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 86–87°F outcome at 42% implied probability, as historical August averages hover near 75–79°F while 2026 has seen persistent above-normal heat. Minor model spreads and local urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty around exact peak readings, though resolution depends on official Sea-Tac Airport observations. Updated short-range guidance and any afternoon sea-breeze shifts remain key variables for final positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,278Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts position Seattle for a daily high in the mid-to-upper 80s on August 5 amid a warmer-than-average summer pattern, with model consensus favoring peak temperatures near 86–88°F under clear to partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This aligns with the market’s leading 86–87°F outcome at 42% implied probability, as historical August averages hover near 75–79°F while 2026 has seen persistent above-normal heat. Minor model spreads and local urban heat island effects introduce uncertainty around exact peak readings, though resolution depends on official Sea-Tac Airport observations. Updated short-range guidance and any afternoon sea-breeze shifts remain key variables for final positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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