Latest numerical weather models and real-time observations show Beijing under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with afternoon highs likely peaking near 36–37°C on August 5, driven by typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Recent days have featured similar warmth with isolated thunderstorms that can cap daytime maxima through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and national forecasts clusters in this range, though localized variations in humidity, wind, and any late-day convection introduce realistic uncertainty that could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before evening. Traders weigh these atmospheric details against historical August baselines near 32–34°C when assessing resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Pechino il 5 agosto?
37°C 42%
36°C 39%
38°C 18%
35°C 3%
$27,654 Vol.
$27,654 Vol.
5 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
3%
36°C
39%
37°C
42%
38°C
18%
39°C or higher
1%
37°C 42%
36°C 39%
38°C 18%
35°C 3%
$27,654 Vol.
$27,654 Vol.
5 ago 2026
29°C or below
$308 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,270 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,213 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,106 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,881 Vol.
3%
36°C
$2,861 Vol.
39%
37°C
$2,859 Vol.
42%
38°C
$3,026 Vol.
18%
39°C or higher
$1,826 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models and real-time observations show Beijing under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with afternoon highs likely peaking near 36–37°C on August 5, driven by typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Recent days have featured similar warmth with isolated thunderstorms that can cap daytime maxima through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and national forecasts clusters in this range, though localized variations in humidity, wind, and any late-day convection introduce realistic uncertainty that could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before evening. Traders weigh these atmospheric details against historical August baselines near 32–34°C when assessing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$27,654Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather models and real-time observations show Beijing under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with afternoon highs likely peaking near 36–37°C on August 5, driven by typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Recent days have featured similar warmth with isolated thunderstorms that can cap daytime maxima through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and national forecasts clusters in this range, though localized variations in humidity, wind, and any late-day convection introduce realistic uncertainty that could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before evening. Traders weigh these atmospheric details against historical August baselines near 32–34°C when assessing resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,654Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models and real-time observations show Beijing under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with afternoon highs likely peaking near 36–37°C on August 5, driven by typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Recent days have featured similar warmth with isolated thunderstorms that can cap daytime maxima through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, creating the narrow spread between the two leading market outcomes. Model consensus from sources like the Met Office and national forecasts clusters in this range, though localized variations in humidity, wind, and any late-day convection introduce realistic uncertainty that could shift the recorded high by 1°C in either direction before evening. Traders weigh these atmospheric details against historical August baselines near 32–34°C when assessing resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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