**Persistent subtropical high pressure and weak southerly flow under typical midsummer conditions are positioning Shanghai’s August 5 high near 33–34 °C.** Ensemble forecasts from global models, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory guidance, indicate this range as the most probable outcome, with light rain or scattered thunderstorms expected to limit further intensification by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines for the region average highs around 31–32 °C, but current atmospheric setup supports a modest elevation while the risk of heavier convective activity caps upside potential above 35 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine timing and coverage of any precipitation, directly influencing final observed maximum temperature resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 5 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 5 agosto?
33°C 60%
34°C 32%
35°C 3%
36°C <1%
$97,015 Vol.
$97,015 Vol.
5 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
60%
34°C
32%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 60%
34°C 32%
35°C 3%
36°C <1%
$97,015 Vol.
$97,015 Vol.
5 ago 2026
28°C or below
$259 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,088 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5,930 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13,816 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$21,008 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$18,570 Vol.
60%
34°C
$11,212 Vol.
32%
35°C
$14,335 Vol.
3%
36°C
$7,534 Vol.
1%
37°C
$2,325 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$939 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure and weak southerly flow under typical midsummer conditions are positioning Shanghai’s August 5 high near 33–34 °C.** Ensemble forecasts from global models, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory guidance, indicate this range as the most probable outcome, with light rain or scattered thunderstorms expected to limit further intensification by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines for the region average highs around 31–32 °C, but current atmospheric setup supports a modest elevation while the risk of heavier convective activity caps upside potential above 35 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine timing and coverage of any precipitation, directly influencing final observed maximum temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$97,015Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent subtropical high pressure and weak southerly flow under typical midsummer conditions are positioning Shanghai’s August 5 high near 33–34 °C.** Ensemble forecasts from global models, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory guidance, indicate this range as the most probable outcome, with light rain or scattered thunderstorms expected to limit further intensification by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines for the region average highs around 31–32 °C, but current atmospheric setup supports a modest elevation while the risk of heavier convective activity caps upside potential above 35 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine timing and coverage of any precipitation, directly influencing final observed maximum temperature resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$97,015Data di fine
5 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent subtropical high pressure and weak southerly flow under typical midsummer conditions are positioning Shanghai’s August 5 high near 33–34 °C.** Ensemble forecasts from global models, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory guidance, indicate this range as the most probable outcome, with light rain or scattered thunderstorms expected to limit further intensification by reducing incoming solar radiation and enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August baselines for the region average highs around 31–32 °C, but current atmospheric setup supports a modest elevation while the risk of heavier convective activity caps upside potential above 35 °C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will refine timing and coverage of any precipitation, directly influencing final observed maximum temperature resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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