Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high of 29°C for Toronto on August 6 under partly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers and a humidex near 35, reflecting warm, moist air advection ahead of a frontal boundary. Ensemble models and recent guidance converge on peaks of 28–30°C, tempered by potential afternoon convection that could limit extreme readings, while climatological baselines for early August average highs around 26–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 29°C, incorporates this forecast spread and typical model variability near land–lake boundaries, with lower odds on outliers driven by limited upside from humid conditions and overnight cooling trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 6 agosto?
28°C 41%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
41%
29°C
27%
30°C
11%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 41%
29°C 27%
27°C 19%
30°C 11%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
41%
29°C
27%
30°C
11%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a daytime high of 29°C for Toronto on August 6 under partly cloudy skies with a 60% chance of showers and a humidex near 35, reflecting warm, moist air advection ahead of a frontal boundary. Ensemble models and recent guidance converge on peaks of 28–30°C, tempered by potential afternoon convection that could limit extreme readings, while climatological baselines for early August average highs around 26–27°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 40.5% implied probability for 28°C and 26.5% for 29°C, incorporates this forecast spread and typical model variability near land–lake boundaries, with lower odds on outliers driven by limited upside from humid conditions and overnight cooling trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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