Recent Met Office forecasts highlight a cooling trend for London on August 6, with maximum temperatures projected near 22–24°C amid a shift to cooler northwesterly airflow after warmer conditions earlier in the week. This stems from diminishing high-pressure influence and increasing maritime air advection, limiting daytime heating despite mostly dry skies and moderate sunshine. Ensemble model guidance shows tight clustering around these values, consistent with early August climatology where daily highs average about 23°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 22–24°C outcomes, aligns with this official guidance and short-range observational trends, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could nudge results within the narrow implied range. Updated model runs and regional briefings will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 6 agosto?
23°C 45%
22°C 26%
24°C 25%
21°C 4%
$18,066 Vol.
$18,066 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
26%
23°C
45%
24°C
25%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
22°C 26%
24°C 25%
21°C 4%
$18,066 Vol.
$18,066 Vol.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
4%
22°C
26%
23°C
45%
24°C
25%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts highlight a cooling trend for London on August 6, with maximum temperatures projected near 22–24°C amid a shift to cooler northwesterly airflow after warmer conditions earlier in the week. This stems from diminishing high-pressure influence and increasing maritime air advection, limiting daytime heating despite mostly dry skies and moderate sunshine. Ensemble model guidance shows tight clustering around these values, consistent with early August climatology where daily highs average about 23°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 22–24°C outcomes, aligns with this official guidance and short-range observational trends, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could nudge results within the narrow implied range. Updated model runs and regional briefings will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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