**Recent forecasts position 13–15°C as the most likely range for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on August 6, 2026.** In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city’s temperate climate typically produces daytime highs of 13–17°C under the influence of polar air masses and occasional frontal passages. Current model guidance and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional outlooks point to a mild winter day with light winds, partial cloud cover, and possible light drizzle, supporting a maximum near 14°C—the clear market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Slightly cooler 13°C (23.5%) or warmer 15°C (13.5%) outcomes remain plausible depending on exact timing of any weak front or clearing skies. Longer-range seasonal averages and early-August observations (highs of 12–16°C) reinforce this narrow band, while the low probabilities assigned to extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant warming or a sharp cold outbreak in the next 24–48 hours. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations on August 6 will determine the exact recorded maximum used for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 6 agosto?
14°C 47%
13°C 24%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
24%
14°C
47%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 47%
13°C 24%
15°C 14%
12°C 3%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
24%
14°C
47%
15°C
14%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts position 13–15°C as the most likely range for Buenos Aires’ daily maximum on August 6, 2026.** In the Southern Hemisphere winter, the city’s temperate climate typically produces daytime highs of 13–17°C under the influence of polar air masses and occasional frontal passages. Current model guidance and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional outlooks point to a mild winter day with light winds, partial cloud cover, and possible light drizzle, supporting a maximum near 14°C—the clear market leader at 45.5% implied probability. Slightly cooler 13°C (23.5%) or warmer 15°C (13.5%) outcomes remain plausible depending on exact timing of any weak front or clearing skies. Longer-range seasonal averages and early-August observations (highs of 12–16°C) reinforce this narrow band, while the low probabilities assigned to extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant warming or a sharp cold outbreak in the next 24–48 hours. Updated official forecasts and real-time observations on August 6 will determine the exact recorded maximum used for market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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