**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 16°C as the highest temperature recorded in Buenos Aires on August 4, 2026, reflecting tight alignment between pre-event forecasts and post-event observations.** Southern Hemisphere winter conditions—marked by reduced solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and limited warm-air advection—produced typical early-August maxima near 15–17°C according to Servicio Meteorológico Nacional climatology and multiple model runs. Stable atmospheric patterns with overcast skies and moderate humidity suppressed any significant warming, keeping the observed peak at the 16°C threshold. This outcome matches official measurements and forecast consensus, leaving little room for deviation. The only realistic challenges would involve localized station-specific discrepancies or minor calibration differences in the final reported value, though such revisions remain improbable given the narrow spread in guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Buenos Aires il 4 agosto?
16°C 100.0%
12°C o inferiore <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$47,812 Vol.
$47,812 Vol.
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
16°C 100.0%
12°C o inferiore <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$47,812 Vol.
$47,812 Vol.
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 16°C as the highest temperature recorded in Buenos Aires on August 4, 2026, reflecting tight alignment between pre-event forecasts and post-event observations.** Southern Hemisphere winter conditions—marked by reduced solar insolation, prevailing westerly flows, and limited warm-air advection—produced typical early-August maxima near 15–17°C according to Servicio Meteorológico Nacional climatology and multiple model runs. Stable atmospheric patterns with overcast skies and moderate humidity suppressed any significant warming, keeping the observed peak at the 16°C threshold. This outcome matches official measurements and forecast consensus, leaving little room for deviation. The only realistic challenges would involve localized station-specific discrepancies or minor calibration differences in the final reported value, though such revisions remain improbable given the narrow spread in guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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