Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for August 6 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C amid high humidity and moderate shower chances. This aligns with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average 26–28°C, rarely dipping below 26°C without significant frontal systems or typhoon influences. Trader consensus favoring 27°C at 49% implied probability reflects model agreement on stable steering patterns and limited cooling from cloud cover, while the 26°C and 28°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects or brief rain-cooled episodes. No major atmospheric shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 6 agosto?
27°C 48%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
25°C 12%
NUOVO
$11,769 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,769 Vol.
6 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
12%
26°C
13%
27°C
48%
28°C
27%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 27%
26°C 13%
25°C 12%
NUOVO
$11,769 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,769 Vol.
6 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
$381 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$777 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$459 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$571 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,031 Vol.
12%
26°C
$1,058 Vol.
13%
27°C
$1,770 Vol.
48%
28°C
$2,043 Vol.
27%
29°C
$2,735 Vol.
1%
30°C
$473 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$469 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for August 6 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C amid high humidity and moderate shower chances. This aligns with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average 26–28°C, rarely dipping below 26°C without significant frontal systems or typhoon influences. Trader consensus favoring 27°C at 49% implied probability reflects model agreement on stable steering patterns and limited cooling from cloud cover, while the 26°C and 28°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects or brief rain-cooled episodes. No major atmospheric shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$11,769Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for August 6 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C amid high humidity and moderate shower chances. This aligns with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average 26–28°C, rarely dipping below 26°C without significant frontal systems or typhoon influences. Trader consensus favoring 27°C at 49% implied probability reflects model agreement on stable steering patterns and limited cooling from cloud cover, while the 26°C and 28°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects or brief rain-cooled episodes. No major atmospheric shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,769Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a minimum temperature near 27°C for August 6 under typical subtropical summer conditions, with daytime highs reaching 31–32°C amid high humidity and moderate shower chances. This aligns with climatological baselines where August overnight lows average 26–28°C, rarely dipping below 26°C without significant frontal systems or typhoon influences. Trader consensus favoring 27°C at 49% implied probability reflects model agreement on stable steering patterns and limited cooling from cloud cover, while the 26°C and 28°C outcomes capture residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects or brief rain-cooled episodes. No major atmospheric shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter this positioning ahead of final observational data.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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