The market consensus has converged on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on August 4, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory that recorded this precise maximum under typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high pressure and light southerly flow maintained daytime heating without significant cloud cover or rainfall to moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological norms for early August when daily maxima frequently fall in the low 30s. Model guidance and surface analyses showed no anomalous cool air intrusions or extreme heat events that would shift the outcome. Minor scenarios capable of altering the result remain limited to post-event data revisions or instrument calibration adjustments by the observatory, though such changes are rare once preliminary readings are validated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 4 agosto?
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$238,799 Vol.
$238,799 Vol.
4 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$238,799 Vol.
$238,799 Vol.
4 ago 2026
23°C or below
$637 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$987 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$960 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$7,989 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$18,440 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$21,182 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$35,681 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$27,225 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$32,239 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$42,759 Vol.
100%
33°C or higher
$50,699 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus has converged on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on August 4, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory that recorded this precise maximum under typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high pressure and light southerly flow maintained daytime heating without significant cloud cover or rainfall to moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological norms for early August when daily maxima frequently fall in the low 30s. Model guidance and surface analyses showed no anomalous cool air intrusions or extreme heat events that would shift the outcome. Minor scenarios capable of altering the result remain limited to post-event data revisions or instrument calibration adjustments by the observatory, though such changes are rare once preliminary readings are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$238,799Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market consensus has converged on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on August 4, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory that recorded this precise maximum under typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high pressure and light southerly flow maintained daytime heating without significant cloud cover or rainfall to moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological norms for early August when daily maxima frequently fall in the low 30s. Model guidance and surface analyses showed no anomalous cool air intrusions or extreme heat events that would shift the outcome. Minor scenarios capable of altering the result remain limited to post-event data revisions or instrument calibration adjustments by the observatory, though such changes are rare once preliminary readings are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$238,799Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market consensus has converged on 32°C as Hong Kong’s highest temperature on August 4, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory that recorded this precise maximum under typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high pressure and light southerly flow maintained daytime heating without significant cloud cover or rainfall to moderate temperatures, consistent with climatological norms for early August when daily maxima frequently fall in the low 30s. Model guidance and surface analyses showed no anomalous cool air intrusions or extreme heat events that would shift the outcome. Minor scenarios capable of altering the result remain limited to post-event data revisions or instrument calibration adjustments by the observatory, though such changes are rare once preliminary readings are validated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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