Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles recorded a daily maximum of 76-77°F on August 4, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability. This outcome reflects typical late-summer marine layer influence moderating coastal highs well below inland peaks, consistent with climatological baselines around 75-80°F for the period. Model consensus from NOAA guidance showed minimal deviation in the 24-48 hours preceding the date, with no heat wave signals or anomalous warming. Traders priced in this range once preliminary station data confirmed the reading, leaving negligible room for alternative bins. Only an official post-event data revision or resolution criteria shift to a non-standard station could realistically alter the result.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Los Angeles il 4 agosto?
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F o inferiore <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$57,307 Vol.
$57,307 Vol.
4 ago 2026
69°F o inferiore
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
69°F o inferiore <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$57,307 Vol.
$57,307 Vol.
4 ago 2026
69°F o inferiore
$889 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,250 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$6,050 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$11,240 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$13,070 Vol.
100%
78-79°F
$9,700 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$9,885 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,793 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$996 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$217 Vol.
<1%
88°F o superiore
$217 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles recorded a daily maximum of 76-77°F on August 4, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability. This outcome reflects typical late-summer marine layer influence moderating coastal highs well below inland peaks, consistent with climatological baselines around 75-80°F for the period. Model consensus from NOAA guidance showed minimal deviation in the 24-48 hours preceding the date, with no heat wave signals or anomalous warming. Traders priced in this range once preliminary station data confirmed the reading, leaving negligible room for alternative bins. Only an official post-event data revision or resolution criteria shift to a non-standard station could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$57,307Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles recorded a daily maximum of 76-77°F on August 4, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability. This outcome reflects typical late-summer marine layer influence moderating coastal highs well below inland peaks, consistent with climatological baselines around 75-80°F for the period. Model consensus from NOAA guidance showed minimal deviation in the 24-48 hours preceding the date, with no heat wave signals or anomalous warming. Traders priced in this range once preliminary station data confirmed the reading, leaving negligible room for alternative bins. Only an official post-event data revision or resolution criteria shift to a non-standard station could realistically alter the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$57,307Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from National Weather Service stations in Los Angeles recorded a daily maximum of 76-77°F on August 4, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability. This outcome reflects typical late-summer marine layer influence moderating coastal highs well below inland peaks, consistent with climatological baselines around 75-80°F for the period. Model consensus from NOAA guidance showed minimal deviation in the 24-48 hours preceding the date, with no heat wave signals or anomalous warming. Traders priced in this range once preliminary station data confirmed the reading, leaving negligible room for alternative bins. Only an official post-event data revision or resolution criteria shift to a non-standard station could realistically alter the result.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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