Warmer-than-average conditions across southern Brazil, driven by a persistent high-pressure system promoting subsidence and clear skies, underpin trader consensus around 26–28°C for São Paulo’s August 6 maximum. These outcomes cluster tightly because regional models show modest ensemble spread in afternoon boundary-layer heating and solar insolation under dry-season stability, with climatological August highs near 23–25°C now elevated by 1–2°C positive anomalies. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak temperatures, local wind mixing, and any subtle moisture advection that could cap or enhance surface warming before official INMET observations finalize resolution. Updated model runs and morning surface data will likely narrow the spread ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 6 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 6 agosto?
27°C 25%
28°C 22%
26°C 18%
29°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
18%
27°C
25%
28°C
22%
29°C
18%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
3%
27°C 25%
28°C 22%
26°C 18%
29°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 ago 2026
21°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
22°C
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
2%
24°C
$40 Vol.
2%
25°C
$36 Vol.
4%
26°C
$72 Vol.
18%
27°C
$30 Vol.
25%
28°C
$31 Vol.
22%
29°C
$53 Vol.
18%
30°C
$197 Vol.
6%
31°C or higher
$16 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warmer-than-average conditions across southern Brazil, driven by a persistent high-pressure system promoting subsidence and clear skies, underpin trader consensus around 26–28°C for São Paulo’s August 6 maximum. These outcomes cluster tightly because regional models show modest ensemble spread in afternoon boundary-layer heating and solar insolation under dry-season stability, with climatological August highs near 23–25°C now elevated by 1–2°C positive anomalies. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak temperatures, local wind mixing, and any subtle moisture advection that could cap or enhance surface warming before official INMET observations finalize resolution. Updated model runs and morning surface data will likely narrow the spread ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$505Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Warmer-than-average conditions across southern Brazil, driven by a persistent high-pressure system promoting subsidence and clear skies, underpin trader consensus around 26–28°C for São Paulo’s August 6 maximum. These outcomes cluster tightly because regional models show modest ensemble spread in afternoon boundary-layer heating and solar insolation under dry-season stability, with climatological August highs near 23–25°C now elevated by 1–2°C positive anomalies. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak temperatures, local wind mixing, and any subtle moisture advection that could cap or enhance surface warming before official INMET observations finalize resolution. Updated model runs and morning surface data will likely narrow the spread ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$505Data di fine
6 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Warmer-than-average conditions across southern Brazil, driven by a persistent high-pressure system promoting subsidence and clear skies, underpin trader consensus around 26–28°C for São Paulo’s August 6 maximum. These outcomes cluster tightly because regional models show modest ensemble spread in afternoon boundary-layer heating and solar insolation under dry-season stability, with climatological August highs near 23–25°C now elevated by 1–2°C positive anomalies. Key differentiators include exact timing of peak temperatures, local wind mixing, and any subtle moisture advection that could cap or enhance surface warming before official INMET observations finalize resolution. Updated model runs and morning surface data will likely narrow the spread ahead of market close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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