Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Moscow will see a cooling trend on August 8 after several days of 30–32°C highs, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 24–26°C amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns with the market's near-even split between 24°C and 25°C outcomes at 42% each, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble variability in short-range guidance and the narrow historical spread around August norms of 22–23°C. Key differentiators include potential for slightly stronger afternoon mixing or lingering warm advection that could nudge readings to 26°C versus earlier stabilization at 24°C, with resolution hinging on official observational maxima from Russian meteorological stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca l'8 agosto?
24°C 42%
25°C 42%
26°C 10%
21°C 6%
20°C o inferiore
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
42%
25°C
42%
26°C
10%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C o superiore
2%
24°C 42%
25°C 42%
26°C 10%
21°C 6%
20°C o inferiore
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C
42%
25°C
42%
26°C
10%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Moscow will see a cooling trend on August 8 after several days of 30–32°C highs, with model consensus pointing to a daily maximum near 24–26°C amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and minimal precipitation. This aligns with the market's near-even split between 24°C and 25°C outcomes at 42% each, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble variability in short-range guidance and the narrow historical spread around August norms of 22–23°C. Key differentiators include potential for slightly stronger afternoon mixing or lingering warm advection that could nudge readings to 26°C versus earlier stabilization at 24°C, with resolution hinging on official observational maxima from Russian meteorological stations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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