Recent short-range model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to stable high pressure and northeasterly flow over the region, supporting daily maxima near 29–30 °C for Istanbul on August 8. Clear skies and modest humidity are expected to allow surface heating during peak insolation hours, while the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara exert a slight moderating influence that limits extremes. Minor differences among ensemble members center on the precise timing and strength of the afternoon thermal peak, producing the tight 28–29 °C market split. Updated runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will clarify whether any subtle wind shift or cloud cover reduces the maximum by 1 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul l'8 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul l'8 agosto?
29°C 50%
28°C 46%
30°C 22%
27°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
46%
29°C
50%
30°C
22%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C o superiore
3%
29°C 50%
28°C 46%
30°C 22%
27°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
8 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
1%
25°C
$10 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
15%
28°C
$0 Vol.
46%
29°C
$0 Vol.
50%
30°C
$0 Vol.
22%
31°C
$14 Vol.
2%
32°C
$22 Vol.
1%
33°C o superiore
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to stable high pressure and northeasterly flow over the region, supporting daily maxima near 29–30 °C for Istanbul on August 8. Clear skies and modest humidity are expected to allow surface heating during peak insolation hours, while the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara exert a slight moderating influence that limits extremes. Minor differences among ensemble members center on the precise timing and strength of the afternoon thermal peak, producing the tight 28–29 °C market split. Updated runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will clarify whether any subtle wind shift or cloud cover reduces the maximum by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$76Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to stable high pressure and northeasterly flow over the region, supporting daily maxima near 29–30 °C for Istanbul on August 8. Clear skies and modest humidity are expected to allow surface heating during peak insolation hours, while the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara exert a slight moderating influence that limits extremes. Minor differences among ensemble members center on the precise timing and strength of the afternoon thermal peak, producing the tight 28–29 °C market split. Updated runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will clarify whether any subtle wind shift or cloud cover reduces the maximum by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$76Data di fine
8 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from sources including ECMWF and GFS points to stable high pressure and northeasterly flow over the region, supporting daily maxima near 29–30 °C for Istanbul on August 8. Clear skies and modest humidity are expected to allow surface heating during peak insolation hours, while the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara exert a slight moderating influence that limits extremes. Minor differences among ensemble members center on the precise timing and strength of the afternoon thermal peak, producing the tight 28–29 °C market split. Updated runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance over the next 48 hours will clarify whether any subtle wind shift or cloud cover reduces the maximum by 1 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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